WTA WuhanWTA 1000Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Sonmez vs Zakharova 2:0: result and our tips

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Zeynep SonmezWTA #59Elo 1796hard 1756
2:0final6:3 6:2
Anastasia ZakharovaWTA #111Elo 1751hard 1746

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Won62%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Zakharova: 13 matches in a row without a deciding set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Zeynep Sonmez51%
Anastasia Zakharova49%

Elo: Z. Sonmez 52% · A. Zakharova 49%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Z. Sonmez32%
2:1 Z. Sonmez19%
2:1 A. Zakharova19%
2:0 A. Zakharova31%

First set

Zeynep Sonmez51%
Anastasia Zakharova50%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.548%52%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%62%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,224 matches

Games handicap

Zeynep Sonmez −0.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Zeynep SonmezAnastasia Zakharova
1Aces5
4Double faults5
67%First serves in49%
71%First-serve points won41%
37%Second-serve points won48%
5/6Break points converted2/5
7/9Service games held3/8
60%Service points won44%
56%Return points won40%
59Total points won43

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Z. SonmezTourA. Zakharova
Service points won56%56%56%
Return points won46%44%44%
Service games held64%63%64%
Breaks of serve39%37%36%
Aces per service game0.100.08
Double faults per game0.250.28
Sets with a tie-break9%13%
Tie-breaks won8/1312/18
Wins in straight sets57%67%
Matches in the sample6163

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Zeynep Sonmez

Anastasia Zakharova

Elo over the last year

Zeynep SonmezAnastasia Zakharova

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Z. SonmezA. Zakharova
Hard court20–1853%26–2057%
Clay6–460%4–736%
Grass9–469%3–350%

Head to head

They have not met yet.