WTA 125 SamsunRound of 16hardbest of three sets

Stefanini vs Noha Akugue 2:0: result and our tips

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Lucrezia StefaniniWTA #106Elo 1706hard 1687
2:0final6:2 6:3
Noma Noha AkugueWTA #126Elo 1621hard 1590

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Lost59%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Stefanini: 4 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Other tips

  • Match Winner: StefaniniWon62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 62%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Stefanini won 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
1st Set Winner: Noha AkugueLost40%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Noha Akugue: 3 matches in a row winning the first set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Lucrezia Stefanini62%
Noma Noha Akugue38%

Elo: L. Stefanini 64% · N. Noha Akugue 36%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Stefanini41%
2:1 L. Stefanini21%
2:1 N. Noha Akugue16%
2:0 N. Noha Akugue22%

First set

Lucrezia Stefanini60%
Noma Noha Akugue40%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.567%33%60%
19.559%41%52%
20.553%47%46%
21.548%52%41%
22.542%58%37%
23.538%62%33%
24.535%65%31%

Sample: 2,340 matches

Games handicap

Lucrezia Stefanini −3.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 21%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Lucrezia StefaniniNoma Noha Akugue
—Aces—
0Double faults5
82%First serves in62%
63%First-serve points won49%
50%Second-serve points won43%
6/18Break points converted2/7
6/8Service games held3/9
61%Service points won47%
53%Return points won39%
76Total points won59

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. StefaniniTourN. Noha Akugue
Service points won52%56%56%
Return points won48%44%45%
Service games held54%63%61%
Breaks of serve45%37%40%
Aces per service game0.040.18
Double faults per game0.280.29
Sets with a tie-break10%10%
Tie-breaks won4/118/10
Wins in straight sets58%83%
Matches in the sample4944

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Lucrezia Stefanini

Noma Noha Akugue

  • 06/10/26WElena Micic#276WTA 125 Samsun · R326:3 6:2
  • 05/10/26WElena Micic#276WTA 125 Samsun · Q27:5 6:3
  • 04/10/26WIlay Yoruk#756WTA 125 Samsun · Q16:1 6:4
  • 28/09/26LFiona Crawley#208WTA 125 Adana · R323:6 1:6
  • 17/09/26LMalaika Rapolu#298WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · R166:4 3:6 0:6
  • 15/09/26WAyana Akli#282WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · R326:3 6:0
  • 13/09/26LFiona Ferro#105WTA 125 Montreux · F1:6 2:6
  • 12/09/26WGuiomar Maristany Zuleta de Reales#148WTA 125 Montreux · SF7:6 6:3
  • 11/09/26WAnastasiia Sobolieva#167WTA 125 Montreux · QF6:1 7:6
  • 09/09/26WAlina Granwehr#352WTA 125 Montreux · R167:5 6:3

Elo over the last year

Lucrezia StefaniniNoma Noha Akugue

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. StefaniniN. Noha Akugue
Hard court21–1657%10–663%
Clay1–420%13–1252%
Grass4–357%1–233%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Lucrezia Stefanini

Noma Noha Akugue

  • 04/10/26WIlay Yoruk#756WTA 125 Samsun · Q16:1 6:4
  • 05/10/26WElena Micic#276WTA 125 Samsun · Q27:5 6:3
  • 06/10/26WElena Micic#276WTA 125 Samsun · R326:3 6:2

See also