Stoiana vs Matsuda 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: M. Stoiana 92% · R. Matsuda 8%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 18.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 19.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.5 | 79% | 21% | 89% |
| 16.5 | 68% | 32% | 82% |
| 17.5 | 58% | 42% | 72% |
| 18.5 | 47% | 53% | 63% |
| 19.5 | 39% | 61% | 55% |
| 20.5 | 32% | 68% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 28% | 72% | 44% |
Sample: 842 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 22%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Under 18.5out · 22 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Mary Stoiana | Rinko Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aces | 2 |
| 4 | Double faults | 0 |
| 73% | First serves in | 74% |
| 60% | First-serve points won | 49% |
| 56% | Second-serve points won | 47% |
| 5/9 | Break points converted | 4/4 |
| 7/11 | Service games held | 5/10 |
| 59% | Service points won | 48% |
| 52% | Return points won | 41% |
| 69 | Total points won | 55 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Stoiana | Tour | R. Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 57% | 56% | — |
| Return points won | 44% | 44% | — |
| Service games held | 67% | 63% | — |
| Breaks of serve | 36% | 37% | — |
| Aces per service game | 0.14 | — | |
| Double faults per game | 0.27 | — | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 13% | — | |
| Tie-breaks won | 11/16 | — | |
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | — | |
| Matches in the sample | 48 | — |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Mary Stoiana
- 18/09/26LPaula Badosa#61WTA Sao Paulo · QF4:6 2:6
- 17/09/26WDominika Salkova#112WTA Sao Paulo · R167:6 6:1
- 16/09/26WClaire Liu#95WTA Sao Paulo · R326:3 7:5
- 10/09/26LJulia Riera#141WTA 125 Barranquilla · R166:4 6:7 3:6
- 09/09/26WJazmin Ortenzi#150WTA 125 Barranquilla · R326:3 6:2
- 02/09/26LAlexandra Eala#20WTA US Open · R1281:6 2:6
- 28/08/26WYue Yuan#173WTA US Open · Q36:3 4:6 6:4
- 26/08/26WKatie Swan#195WTA US Open · Q26:7 6:3 6:3
- 25/08/26WHarmony Tan#215WTA US Open · Q16:4 6:3
- 14/08/26LTereza Valentova#88WTA Cincinnati · R1282:6 6:7
Rinko Matsuda
- 04/10/26LSijia Wei#405WTA 125 Suzhou · Q12:6 2:6
- 28/09/26LKatarzyna Kawa#128WTA Beijing · Q16:7 6:2 3:6
- 13/07/25LEmina BektasWTA 125 Porto · Q12:6 5:7
- 23/09/23LMisaki DoiWTA Tokyo · Q13:6 0:6
- 17/09/22LHimeno Sakatsume#115WTA Tokyo · Q14:6 2:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Stoiana | R. Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 16–1355% | 0–20% |
| Clay | 4–357% | 0–0 |
| Grass | 8–467% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.