Challenger VillenaChallenger 125Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Stricker vs Djere 0:2: result and our tips

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Dominic StrickerATP #263Elo 1794hard 1769
0:2final1:6 5:7
Laslo DjereATP #179Elo 1835hard 1752

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 26.5Won68%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Stricker: 12 matches in a row under 26.5 games

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    No third set in recent matches: Stricker 17 of 20, Djere 13 of 20 (tour average 66%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 21.5Won44%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Stricker: 3 matches in a row under 21.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Dominic Stricker59%
Laslo Djere42%

Elo: D. Stricker 53% · L. Djere 48%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Stricker37%
2:1 D. Stricker21%
2:1 L. Djere17%
2:0 L. Djere25%

First set

Dominic Stricker56%
Laslo Djere44%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.570%30%62%
20.562%38%54%
21.556%44%49%
22.549%51%42%
23.543%57%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.537%63%32%

Sample: 5,746 matches

Games handicap

Dominic Stricker −2.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes38%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.5in · 19 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Dominic StrickerLaslo Djere
2Aces6
3Double faults2
52%First serves in64%
75%First-serve points won77%
31%Second-serve points won55%
1/3Break points converted4/7
5/9Service games held9/10
54%Service points won69%
31%Return points won46%
48Total points won67

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. StrickerTourL. Djere
Service points won66%62%63%
Return points won39%38%39%
Service games held82%76%79%
Breaks of serve27%24%25%
Aces per service game0.530.33
Double faults per game0.160.23
Sets with a tie-break20%22%
Tie-breaks won7/1510/26
Wins in straight sets76%69%
Matches in the sample3752

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Dominic Stricker

  • 05/10/26WMarko ToPo#330Challenger Villena · Q26:2 6:2
  • 04/10/26WEnrique Carrascosa DiazChallenger Villena · Q16:3 7:5
  • 01/10/26LHenry Bernet#371Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R161:6 6:7
  • 30/09/26WLiam Broady#213Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R326:4 3:6 6:1
  • 25/08/26LMartin Krumich#257Challenger Augsburg · R322:6 3:6
  • 22/08/26WBenjamin Hassan#500Challenger Sion · F6:1 2:6 6:2
  • 21/08/26WTommaso Compagnucci#372Challenger Sion · SF6:2 6:2
  • 20/08/26WMika Brunold#261Challenger Sion · QF6:4 7:6
  • 19/08/26WLucio Ratti#389Challenger Sion · R166:4 6:4
  • 18/08/26WRaphael Perot#301Challenger Sion · R327:5 6:3

Laslo Djere

Elo over the last year

Dominic StrickerLaslo Djere

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. StrickerL. Djere
Hard court7–370%6–1135%
Clay18–967%22–1167%
Grass0–01–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Dominic Stricker

  • 04/10/26WEnrique Carrascosa DiazChallenger Villena · Q16:3 7:5
  • 05/10/26WMarko ToPo#330Challenger Villena · Q26:2 6:2

Laslo Djere

First match in this tournament.