Challenger Guangzhou NanshaChallenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Fajing Sun vs Qian Sun 2:0: result and our tips

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Fajing SunATP #296Elo 1609hard 1605
2:0final6:4 6:2
Qian SunATP #890Elo 1268hard 1267

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Fajing Sun88%
Qian Sun12%

Elo: F. Sun 88% · Q. Sun 13%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Sun69%
2:1 F. Sun19%
2:1 Q. Sun6%
2:0 Q. Sun7%

First set

Fajing Sun80%
Qian Sun20%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes25%
no75%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.0 · 50%market (no margin): 50%

The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.579%21%88%
17.569%31%79%
18.559%41%71%
19.550%50%62%
20.542%58%54%
21.537%63%49%
22.530%70%42%

Sample: 1,770 matches

Games handicap

Fajing Sun −5.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 20.0in · 18 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Fajing SunQian Sun
5Aces10
2Double faults3
59%First serves in73%
79%First-serve points won70%
75%Second-serve points won25%
3/8Break points converted0/1
9/9Service games held6/9
78%Service points won58%
42%Return points won22%
63Total points won45

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. SunTourQ. Sun
Service points won63%62%61%
Return points won38%38%36%
Service games held78%76%75%
Breaks of serve24%24%19%
Aces per service game0.320.43
Double faults per game0.140.34
Sets with a tie-break15%20%
Tie-breaks won7/201/2
Wins in straight sets59%—
Matches in the sample584

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Fajing Sun

  • 13/10/26LJie Cui#448Challenger Jinan · R323:6 5:7
  • 09/10/26LAlibek Kachmazov#361Challenger Wuning 3 · QF3:6 4:6
  • 08/10/26WKasidit Samrej#382Challenger Wuning 3 · R166:4 7:5
  • 06/10/26WAoran WangChallenger Wuning 3 · R326:3 1:0
  • 29/09/26LBernard Tomic#180Challenger Jingshan · R324:6 7:6 3:6
  • 24/09/26LRoman Safiullin#70ATP Hangzhou · R322:6 0:6
  • 23/09/26WBernard Tomic#180ATP Hangzhou · Q26:4 7:5
  • 22/09/26WMatthew Dellavedova#250ATP Hangzhou · Q13:6 6:1 7:6
  • 17/09/26LAlexander Binda#465Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R166:4 6:7 4:6
  • 15/09/26WAlexis Galarneau#182Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R327:5 3:6 7:5

Qian Sun

  • 11/10/26LHayato Matsuoka#242Challenger Jinan · Q12:6 7:6 4:6
  • 03/05/26LHayato Matsuoka#242Challenger Wuxi · Q16:1 3:6 5:7
  • 12/04/26LYuta Kikuchi#900Challenger Wuning 2 · Q15:7 3:6
  • 07/04/26LDaniil Ostapenkov#544Challenger Wuning · R326:7 4:6
  • 07/09/25LEvan Zhu#462Challenger Guangzhou 2 · Q11:6 7:6 4:6
  • 24/08/25LKaichi Uchida#417Challenger Zhangjiagang · Q11:6 3:6
  • 25/08/24LNorbert Gombos#362Challenger Zhangjiagang · Q12:6 6:7
  • 11/10/23LJie Cui#448Challenger Shenzhen · R323:6 3:6
  • 12/09/23LDane Sweeny#112Challenger Guangzhou · R321:6 2:6
  • 11/09/23WToshihide MatsuiChallenger Guangzhou · Q26:7 6:0 7:6

Elo over the last year

Fajing SunQian Sun

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. SunQ. Sun
Hard court26–2551%0–40%
Clay3–350%0–0
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.