Challenger Wuning 3Challenger 50Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Sun vs Wang 1:0: result and our tips

·

Fajing SunATP #303Elo 1626hard 1623
1:0retired6:3 1:0
Aoran WangATP #989Elo 1298hard 1296

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Fajing Sun92%
Aoran Wang8%

Elo: F. Sun 87% · A. Wang 13%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Sun74%
2:1 F. Sun16%
2:1 A. Wang4%
2:0 A. Wang5%

First set

Fajing Sun83%
Aoran Wang17%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes21%
no79%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 57%market (no margin): 49%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.583%17%89%
17.573%27%81%
18.563%37%72%
19.553%47%64%
20.543%57%56%
21.536%64%51%
22.531%69%43%

Sample: 1,379 matches

Games handicap

Fajing Sun −5.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes30%

tour average 34%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Match stats

Fajing SunAoran Wang
3Aces7
0Double faults6
68%First serves in41%
93%First-serve points won87%
86%Second-serve points won32%
2/6Break points converted0/0
5/5Service games held3/5
91%Service points won54%
46%Return points won9%
37Total points won22

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. SunTourA. Wang
Service points won63%62%62%
Return points won38%38%30%
Service games held77%76%77%
Breaks of serve25%24%13%
Aces per service game0.320.95
Double faults per game0.150.39
Sets with a tie-break16%19%
Tie-breaks won8/222/6
Wins in straight sets62%25%
Matches in the sample5814

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Fajing Sun

  • 29/09/26LBernard Tomic#185Challenger Jingshan · R324:6 7:6 3:6
  • 24/09/26LRoman Safiullin#79ATP Hangzhou · R322:6 0:6
  • 23/09/26WBernard Tomic#185ATP Hangzhou · Q26:4 7:5
  • 22/09/26WMatthew Dellavedova#283ATP Hangzhou · Q13:6 6:1 7:6
  • 17/09/26LAlexander Binda#474Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R166:4 6:7 4:6
  • 15/09/26WAlexis Galarneau#184Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R327:5 3:6 7:5
  • 08/09/26LJie Cui#420Challenger Shanghai · R325:7 4:6
  • 04/09/26LChun Hsin Tseng#225Challenger Zhangjiagang · QF3:6 3:6
  • 02/09/26WHanyi Liu#831Challenger Zhangjiagang · R166:0 7:5
  • 31/08/26WTung-Lin Wu#364Challenger Zhangjiagang · R326:7 6:4 7:6

Aoran Wang

  • 15/09/26LAlexander Binda#474Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R323:6 4:6
  • 06/09/26LYaojie ZengChallenger Shanghai · Q13:6 6:7
  • 30/08/26LOmar Jasika#422Challenger Zhangjiagang · Q16:7 2:6
  • 03/05/26LLuca Castelnuovo#455Challenger Wuxi · Q14:6 0:3
  • 29/04/26LAlex Bolt#170Challenger Jiujiang · R323:6 6:7
  • 15/04/26LKhumoyun Sultanov#444Challenger Wuning 2 · R323:6 6:7
  • 08/02/26LOliver AndersonChallenger Brisbane 2 · Q12:6 4:6
  • 01/02/26LShinji Hazawa#694Challenger Brisbane · Q16:3 0:6 1:6
  • 22/10/25LYu Hsiou Hsu#297Challenger Suzhou · R161:6 4:6
  • 21/10/25WRigele TE#849Challenger Suzhou · R324:6 7:6 6:2

Elo over the last year

Fajing SunAoran Wang

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. SunA. Wang
Hard court26–2551%4–931%
Clay3–350%0–10%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.