ATP ShanghaiMasters 1000Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Sweeny vs Coppejans 0:2: result and our tips

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Dane SweenyATP #112Elo 1699hard 1666
0:2final3:6 2:6
Kimmer CoppejansATP #232Elo 1724hard 1687

Our tips

Our tip
No third setWon61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

No third set in recent matches: Sweeny 13 of 20, Coppejans 18 of 20 (tour average 66%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Dane Sweeny58%
Kimmer Coppejans42%

Elo: D. Sweeny 47% · K. Coppejans 53%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Sweeny37%
2:1 D. Sweeny21%
2:1 K. Coppejans18%
2:0 K. Coppejans25%

First set

Dane Sweeny56%
Kimmer Coppejans44%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 49%market (no margin): 49%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.572%28%72%
19.564%36%64%
20.558%42%56%
21.551%49%51%
22.544%56%43%
23.541%59%37%
24.538%62%36%

Sample: 5,699 matches

Games handicap

Dane Sweeny −2.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes29%

tour average 34%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 17 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Dane SweenyKimmer Coppejans
0Aces4
4Double faults2
66%First serves in66%
61%First-serve points won74%
32%Second-serve points won36%
1/4Break points converted4/5
4/8Service games held8/9
51%Service points won62%
39%Return points won49%
53Total points won67

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. SweenyTourK. Coppejans
Service points won61%62%59%
Return points won40%38%42%
Service games held75%76%70%
Breaks of serve27%24%33%
Aces per service game0.270.30
Double faults per game0.280.29
Sets with a tie-break20%14%
Tie-breaks won19/3210/22
Wins in straight sets53%63%
Matches in the sample6670

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Dane Sweeny

Kimmer Coppejans

Elo over the last year

Dane SweenyKimmer Coppejans

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. SweenyK. Coppejans
Hard court32–2358%13–1252%
Clay0–20%26–1760%
Grass6–367%1–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Dane Sweeny

Kimmer Coppejans