Challenger LisbonChallenger 125Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Taberner vs Marques 2:0: result and our tips

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Carlos TabernerATP #447Elo 1713clay 1728
2:0final6:4 6:3
Goncalo MarquesATP #581Elo 1515clay 1453

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Carlos Taberner90%
Goncalo Marques10%

Elo: C. Taberner 83% · G. Marques 17%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Taberner72%
2:1 C. Taberner18%
2:1 G. Marques6%
2:0 G. Marques5%

First set

Carlos Taberner83%
Goncalo Marques17%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes23%
no77%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.5 · 60%market (no margin): 51%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 19.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
15.577%23%91%
16.567%33%84%
17.557%43%76%
18.548%52%68%
19.540%60%59%
20.534%66%52%
21.530%70%47%

Sample: 1,430 matches

Games handicap

Carlos Taberner −6.544%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes16%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 19.5in · 19 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Carlos TabernerGoncalo Marques
1Aces4
2Double faults3
57%First serves in54%
67%First-serve points won71%
80%Second-serve points won39%
4/5Break points converted1/3
8/9Service games held6/10
72%Service points won56%
44%Return points won28%
59Total points won45

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. TabernerTourG. Marques
Service points won60%62%60%
Return points won41%38%36%
Service games held71%76%71%
Breaks of serve30%24%21%
Aces per service game0.200.37
Double faults per game0.340.21
Sets with a tie-break10%16%
Tie-breaks won1/72/3
Wins in straight sets54%33%
Matches in the sample288

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Carlos Taberner

Goncalo Marques

Elo over the last year

Carlos TabernerGoncalo Marques

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. TabernerG. Marques
Hard court0–30%3–175%
Clay13–1252%0–40%

Head to head

They have not met yet.