WTA OsakaWTA 250Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Tararudee vs Quevedo 2:0: result and our tips

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Lanlana TararudeeWTA #53Elo 1811hard 1803
2:0final7:5 6:3
Kaitlin QuevedoWTA #79Elo 1777hard 1763

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won69%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Tararudee 15 of 20, Quevedo 16 of 20 (tour average 64%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Lanlana Tararudee65%
Kaitlin Quevedo35%

Elo: L. Tararudee 56% · K. Quevedo 44%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Tararudee41%
2:1 L. Tararudee22%
2:1 K. Quevedo16%
2:0 K. Quevedo21%

First set

Lanlana Tararudee60%
Kaitlin Quevedo40%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 48%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.548%52%44%
22.542%58%38%
23.538%62%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,259 matches

Games handicap

Lanlana Tararudee −3.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 23%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 21.0out · 21 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Lanlana TararudeeKaitlin Quevedo
11Aces2
2Double faults1
57%First serves in68%
75%First-serve points won64%
63%Second-serve points won56%
3/5Break points converted1/6
10/11Service games held7/10
70%Service points won61%
39%Return points won30%
66Total points won54

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. TararudeeTourK. Quevedo
Service points won59%56%56%
Return points won45%44%46%
Service games held69%63%64%
Breaks of serve39%37%40%
Aces per service game0.370.21
Double faults per game0.340.30
Sets with a tie-break13%10%
Tie-breaks won10/198/12
Wins in straight sets63%56%
Matches in the sample6151

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Lanlana Tararudee

Kaitlin Quevedo

  • 21/09/26WNadia Podoroska#205WTA Sao Paulo · F4:6 6:4 6:2
  • 19/09/26WAnna Blinkova#72WTA Sao Paulo · SF6:4 2:6 6:4
  • 18/09/26WTeodora Kostovic#144WTA Sao Paulo · QF6:3 6:4
  • 17/09/26WNauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva#607WTA Sao Paulo · R166:2 6:1
  • 16/09/26WAnastasia Tikhonova#261WTA Sao Paulo · R326:0 6:2
  • 10/09/26LClaire Liu#95WTA 125 Barranquilla · QF5:7 1:6
  • 09/09/26WSara Sorribes Tormo#170WTA 125 Barranquilla · R165:7 7:5 6:1
  • 08/09/26WAnna Rogers#386WTA 125 Barranquilla · R326:3 4:6 7:5
  • 01/09/26LElise Mertens#15WTA US Open · R1284:6 4:6
  • 24/08/26LEkaterina Ovcharenko#585WTA 125 Philadelphia · R321:6 6:0 6:7

Elo over the last year

Lanlana TararudeeKaitlin Quevedo

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. TararudeeK. Quevedo
Hard court38–1670%15–865%
Clay0–10%16–1062%
Grass2–433%1–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.