WTA 125 MallorcaRound of 32claybest of three sets

Teixido Garcia vs Samson 1:2: result and our tips

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Aran Teixido GarciaWTA #365Elo 1479clay 1475
1:2final3:6 6:2 3:6
Laura SamsonWTA #128Elo 1658clay 1703

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 16.5Won63%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Samson: 12 matches in a row over 16.5 games; Over 16.5 games in recent matches: Teixido Garcia 6 of 8, Samson 19 of 20 (tour average 78%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Aran Teixido Garcia10%
Laura Samson90%

Elo: A. Teixido Garcia 21% · L. Samson 79%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Teixido Garcia6%
2:1 A. Teixido Garcia5%
2:1 L. Samson15%
2:0 L. Samson74%

First set

Aran Teixido Garcia16%
Laura Samson84%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes21%
no80%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 17.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 17.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 19.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
14.588%13%93%
15.575%25%86%
16.563%37%78%
17.552%48%68%
18.542%58%60%
19.536%64%52%
20.530%71%46%

Sample: 613 matches

Games handicap

Laura Samson −6.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes15%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 17.5in · 26 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Aran Teixido GarciaLaura Samson
1Aces2
12Double faults5
67%First serves in65%
60%First-serve points won53%
30%Second-serve points won48%
6/8Break points converted7/12
6/13Service games held7/13
50%Service points won51%
49%Return points won50%
81Total points won83

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. Teixido GarciaTourL. Samson
Service points won53%56%54%
Return points won44%44%47%
Service games held55%63%61%
Breaks of serve38%37%40%
Aces per service game0.130.21
Double faults per game0.610.51
Sets with a tie-break6%14%
Tie-breaks won0/16/12
Wins in straight sets67%57%
Matches in the sample838

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Aran Teixido Garcia

Laura Samson

Elo over the last year

Aran Teixido GarciaLaura Samson

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. Teixido GarciaL. Samson
Hard court1–233%0–50%
Clay2–340%21–1166%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.