ATP ShanghaiMasters 1000Round of 64hardbest of three sets

Tien vs Svajda 2:0: result and our tips

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Learner TienATP #17Elo 2071hard 2048
2:0final7:5 7:5
Zachary SvajdaATP #82Elo 1887hard 1864

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: TienWon70%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Tien won the first set in 15 of the last 20 matches, Svajda lost the first set in 10 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Long shot
1st Set Winner: SvajdaLost30%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Svajda: 4 matches in a row winning the first set

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Learner Tien74%
Zachary Svajda26%

Elo: L. Tien 74% · Z. Svajda 26%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Tien51%
2:1 L. Tien22%
2:1 Z. Svajda13%
2:0 Z. Svajda14%

First set

Learner Tien69%
Zachary Svajda31%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 48%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.571%30%68%
20.562%38%59%
21.556%44%54%
22.548%52%45%
23.541%59%39%
24.538%62%38%
25.535%65%34%

Sample: 3,942 matches

Games handicap

Learner Tien −3.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes44%

tour average 38%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 22.0in · 24 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Learner TienZachary Svajda
5Aces7
2Double faults4
67%First serves in62%
88%First-serve points won81%
48%Second-serve points won42%
2/3Break points converted0/0
12/12Service games held10/12
75%Service points won66%
34%Return points won25%
71Total points won61

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. TienTourZ. Svajda
Service points won64%62%65%
Return points won39%38%37%
Service games held80%76%81%
Breaks of serve26%24%23%
Aces per service game0.440.54
Double faults per game0.280.19
Sets with a tie-break17%19%
Tie-breaks won22/2910/25
Wins in straight sets49%62%
Matches in the sample5851

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Learner Tien

Zachary Svajda

Elo over the last year

Learner TienZachary Svajda

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. TienZ. Svajda
Hard court28–1368%21–1264%
Clay9–469%4–640%
Grass2–250%4–450%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Learner Tien

First match in this tournament.

Zachary Svajda