Tirante vs Diaz Acosta 1:2: result and our tips
·
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 61% → with the players' profiles 58%
Tirante: 6 matches in a row without a tie-break
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Under 21.5 games in recent matches: Tirante 13 of 20, Diaz Acosta 12 of 20 (tour average 46%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: T. Tirante 73% · F. Diaz Acosta 27%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 69% | 31% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 61% | 39% | 59% |
| 21.5 | 54% | 46% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 47% | 53% | 45% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 60% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 38% | 63% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 35% | 66% | 34% |
Sample: 3,784 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 38%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Over 22.0in · 30 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | Facundo Diaz Acosta | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Aces | 4 |
| 1 | Double faults | 2 |
| 59% | First serves in | 71% |
| 81% | First-serve points won | 78% |
| 35% | Second-serve points won | 69% |
| 0/5 | Break points converted | 3/4 |
| 11/14 | Service games held | 15/15 |
| 62% | Service points won | 75% |
| 25% | Return points won | 38% |
| 82 | Total points won | 104 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| T. Tirante | Tour | F. Diaz Acosta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 42% |
| Service games held | 82% | 76% | 77% |
| Breaks of serve | 20% | 24% | 33% |
| Aces per service game | 0.67 | 0.25 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.22 | 0.18 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 16% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 12/23 | 16/31 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 62% | |
| Matches in the sample | 58 | 77 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Thiago Agustin Tirante
- 10/10/26LRafael Jodar#11ATP Shanghai · R646:4 2:6 3:6
- 08/10/26WHamad Medjedovic#76ATP Shanghai · R1286:4 6:2
- 30/09/26LJan-Lennard Struff#58ATP Beijing · R321:6 4:6
- 30/08/26LAdrian Mannarino#79ATP US Open · R1286:4 6:3 3:6 3:6 3:6
- 21/08/26LArthur Fils#10ATP Cincinnati · QF3:6 2:6
- 19/08/26WJakub Menšík#16ATP Cincinnati · R165:7 6:4 6:4
- 17/08/26WMartin Landaluce#67ATP Cincinnati · R327:6 7:6
- 15/08/26WNovak Djokovic#12ATP Cincinnati · R642:6 6:4 6:4
- 13/08/26WJan Choinski#113ATP Cincinnati · R1287:6 6:7 7:6
- 09/08/26LLearner Tien#18ATP Montreal · R164:6 4:6
Facundo Diaz Acosta
- 13/10/26LShintaro Mochizuki#129Challenger Jinan · R322:6 6:7
- 08/10/26LNuno Borges#52ATP Shanghai · R1286:7 2:6
- 15/09/26LDaniel Elahi Galan#368Challenger Szczecin · R327:5 2:6 3:6
- 13/09/26WDusan Lajovic#162Challenger Seville · F6:2 6:1
- 12/09/26WJaume Munar#51Challenger Seville · SF4:6 6:3 7:6
- 11/09/26WSebastian Ofner#122Challenger Seville · QF7:5 6:2
- 09/09/26WAlejandro Moro Canas#232Challenger Seville · R166:1 7:5
- 07/09/26WPol Martin Tiffon#211Challenger Seville · R326:3 2:6 6:2
- 31/08/26LQuentin Halys#46ATP US Open · R1284:6 5:7 7:6 1:6
- 02/08/26WMili Poljicak#270Challenger San Marino · F6:1 6:4
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| T. Tirante | F. Diaz Acosta | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 16–1453% | 3–633% |
| Clay | 17–868% | 50–1775% |
| Grass | 1–233% | 0–10% |
Head to head
T. Tirante 2–0 F. Diaz Acosta
- 24/10/25Winner: Thiago Agustin Tirante7:6 6:4
- 12/07/25Winner: Thiago Agustin Tirante6:4 6:4