ATP ShanghaiMasters 1000Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying
Tomic vs Skatov 2:0: result and our tips
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Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Bernard Tomic54%
Timofey Skatov46%
Elo: B. Tomic 61% · T. Skatov 39%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 B. Tomic34%
2:1 B. Tomic20%
2:1 T. Skatov18%
2:0 T. Skatov27%
First set
Bernard Tomic54%
Timofey Skatov46%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.0
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 72% | 28% | 64% |
| 20.5 | 64% | 36% | 56% |
| 21.5 | 58% | 42% | 51% |
| 22.5 | 51% | 49% | 43% |
| 23.5 | 44% | 56% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 42% | 59% | 36% |
| 25.5 | 38% | 62% | 32% |
Sample: 5,353 matches
Games handicap
Bernard Tomic −1.550%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes41%
tour average 34%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Over 22.5out · 22 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Bernard Tomic | Timofey Skatov | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Aces | 7 |
| 0 | Double faults | 2 |
| 75% | First serves in | 69% |
| 77% | First-serve points won | 74% |
| 56% | Second-serve points won | 48% |
| 2/5 | Break points converted | 0/2 |
| 11/11 | Service games held | 9/11 |
| 72% | Service points won | 66% |
| 34% | Return points won | 28% |
| 69 | Total points won | 62 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| B. Tomic | Tour | T. Skatov | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 79% | 76% | 76% |
| Breaks of serve | 24% | 24% | 24% |
| Aces per service game | 0.48 | 0.27 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.14 | 0.24 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 19% | 18% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 14/31 | 9/27 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 49% | 72% | |
| Matches in the sample | 68 | 65 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Bernard Tomic
- 05/10/26WTerence Atmane#99ATP Shanghai · Q16:3 4:6 5:3
- 01/10/26WYuta Shimizu#393Challenger Jingshan · R165:7 6:2 7:6
- 29/09/26WFajing Sun#303Challenger Jingshan · R326:4 6:7 6:3
- 23/09/26LFajing Sun#303ATP Hangzhou · Q24:6 5:7
- 22/09/26WRigele TE#849ATP Hangzhou · Q16:7 6:4 7:5
- 19/09/26LPavel Kotov#187Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · SF6:7 6:7
- 18/09/26WAlexander Binda#474Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · QF6:3 6:4
- 17/09/26WJake Delaney#357Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R166:3 6:2
- 15/09/26WYuta Kikuchi#956Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R326:0 6:2
- 10/09/26LIlya Ivashka#237Challenger Shanghai · R164:6 6:4 2:6
Timofey Skatov
- 05/10/26WStefanos Sakellaridis#135ATP Shanghai · Q16:3 6:2
- 08/09/26LYanki Erel#300Challenger Istanbul 3 · R326:7 4:6
- 26/08/26LGrigor Dimitrov#127ATP US Open · Q26:7 4:6
- 25/08/26WGilles Arnaud Bailly#337ATP US Open · Q16:4 6:2
- 19/08/26LGauthier Onclin#168Challenger Cancun · R326:2 2:6 3:6
- 03/08/26LAlex Barrena#224Challenger Hagen · R326:7 2:6
- 31/07/26LJuan Pablo Varillas#200Challenger San Marino · QF4:6 4:6
- 30/07/26WOtto Virtanen#107Challenger San Marino · R166:2 6:4
- 28/07/26WThomas Faurel#328Challenger San Marino · R326:1 7:6
- 23/07/26LAndrey Rublev#23ATP Estoril · R161:6 1:6
Elo over the last year
Bernard TomicTimofey Skatov
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| B. Tomic | T. Skatov | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 34–2261% | 12–1152% |
| Clay | 2–340% | 18–2047% |
| Grass | 3–443% | 2–250% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Bernard Tomic
- 05/10/26WTerence Atmane#99ATP Shanghai · Q16:3 4:6 5:3
Timofey Skatov
- 05/10/26WStefanos Sakellaridis#135ATP Shanghai · Q16:3 6:2