Challenger Fort WorthChallenger 75Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Trotter vs Young 1:2: result and our tips

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James Kent TrotterATP #464Elo 1641hard 1638
1:2final6:1 4:6 3:6
Gavin YoungATP #553Elo 1464hard 1465

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 25.5Lost61%

Where the number comes from: market alone 64% → with the players' profiles 61%

Trotter: 11 matches in a row under 25.5 games; Under 25.5 games in recent matches: Trotter 17 of 20, Young 5 of 6 (tour average 68%)

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Lost62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Trotter: 9 matches in a row without a deciding set

Long shot
Total Games: Under 21.5Lost42%

Where the number comes from: market alone 46% → with the players' profiles 42%

Under 21.5 games in recent matches: Trotter 13 of 20, Young 5 of 6 (tour average 51%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

James Kent Trotter53%
Gavin Young47%

Elo: J. Trotter 73% · G. Young 27%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Trotter34%
2:1 J. Trotter20%
2:1 G. Young18%
2:0 G. Young28%

First set

James Kent Trotter53%
Gavin Young47%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 52%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.573%27%62%
20.565%35%54%
21.558%42%49%
22.552%48%42%
23.545%55%37%
24.541%59%35%
25.539%61%32%

Sample: 5,341 matches

Games handicap

James Kent Trotter −1.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes43%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 22.5in · 26 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

James Kent TrotterGavin Young
3Aces5
2Double faults6
60%First serves in64%
71%First-serve points won63%
43%Second-serve points won54%
3/6Break points converted3/13
10/13Service games held10/13
60%Service points won60%
40%Return points won40%
90Total points won86

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. TrotterTourG. Young
Service points won65%62%62%
Return points won36%38%36%
Service games held81%76%75%
Breaks of serve19%24%21%
Aces per service game0.660.39
Double faults per game0.280.22
Sets with a tie-break23%0%
Tie-breaks won10/230/0
Wins in straight sets65%100%
Matches in the sample416

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

James Kent Trotter

  • 29/09/26LStefan Kozlov#290Challenger Columbus · R323:6 2:6
  • 28/09/26LLi Tu#527Challenger Columbus · Q23:6 3:6
  • 27/09/26WAlexander Ikenna OkonkwoChallenger Columbus · Q17:5 7:6
  • 17/09/26LMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#424Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R162:6 3:6
  • 16/09/26WFederico Cina#147Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R326:4 6:1
  • 14/09/26WThomas Fancutt#697Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q26:3 6:2
  • 13/09/26WZiyu LiuChallenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q16:1 6:0
  • 04/09/26LMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#424Challenger Zhangjiagang · QF7:6 3:6 0:4
  • 02/09/26WYu Hsiou Hsu#297Challenger Zhangjiagang · R166:4 7:5
  • 31/08/26WJie Cui#420Challenger Zhangjiagang · R326:3 6:4

Gavin Young

  • 10/08/26LEdward Winter#350Challenger Brownsburg · Q22:6 2:6
  • 09/08/26WWilliam ManningChallenger Brownsburg · Q16:2 6:4
  • 02/08/26LSoonwoo Kwon#161Challenger Lexington · Q15:7 3:6
  • 20/07/26LSebastian Gorzny#413Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Q27:5 5:7 3:6
  • 19/07/26WRichard BiagiottiChallenger Bloomfield Hills · Q16:3 6:4
  • 12/07/26LYassine Dlimi#498Challenger Lincoln · Q15:7 3:6

Elo over the last year

James Kent TrotterGavin Young

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. TrotterG. Young
Hard court20–2050%2–433%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.