Uchijima vs Bai 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Bai: 9 matches in a row without a deciding set
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Uchijima lost the first set in 15 of the last 20 matches, Bai won the first set in 11 of the last 19 matches (tour average 50%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: M. Uchijima 52% · Z. Bai 48%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 63% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 55% |
| 20.5 | 54% | 46% | 48% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 52% | 43% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 38% | 62% | 34% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 2,212 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 22%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Under 21.5out · 28 games
- Games handicapnot covered
Match stats
| Moyuka Uchijima | Zhuoxuan Bai | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Aces | 2 |
| 4 | Double faults | 2 |
| 78% | First serves in | 77% |
| 68% | First-serve points won | 64% |
| 39% | Second-serve points won | 57% |
| 2/6 | Break points converted | 4/8 |
| 10/14 | Service games held | 12/14 |
| 62% | Service points won | 62% |
| 38% | Return points won | 38% |
| 85 | Total points won | 89 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Uchijima | Tour | Z. Bai | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 55% | 56% | 57% |
| Return points won | 45% | 44% | 46% |
| Service games held | 61% | 63% | 65% |
| Breaks of serve | 38% | 37% | 41% |
| Aces per service game | 0.19 | 0.18 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.36 | 0.25 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 11% | 7% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 8/14 | 1/3 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 67% | |
| Matches in the sample | 54 | 19 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Moyuka Uchijima
- 21/09/26LLanlana Tararudee#60WTA Seoul · R324:6 7:6 2:6
- 26/08/26LLucie Havlickova#204WTA US Open · Q22:6 6:2 6:7
- 25/08/26WPolona Hercog#224WTA US Open · Q16:3 6:3
- 12/08/26LHarriet Dart#113WTA Cincinnati · Q13:6 0:6
- 04/08/26LAryna Sabalenka#2WTA Toronto · R643:6 3:6
- 02/08/26WCristina Bucsa#38WTA Toronto · R1286:3 6:4
- 01/08/26WHimeno Sakatsume#115WTA Toronto · Q16:2 6:4
- 30/07/26LMaddison Inglis#130WTA 125 Vancouver · QF4:6 7:6 3:6
- 29/07/26WHayu Kinoshita#221WTA 125 Vancouver · R162:6 6:4 7:5
- 28/07/26WMiho Kuramochi#376WTA 125 Vancouver · R326:1 6:4
Zhuoxuan Bai
- 30/09/26LLinda Fruhvirtova#157WTA Beijing · R1282:6 3:6
- 29/09/26WJiayi Wang#480WTA Beijing · Q26:1 6:0
- 28/09/26WMina Hodzic#277WTA Beijing · Q16:4 6:3
- 13/07/26LTatiana Prozorova#117WTA 125 Istanbul 2 · R323:6 1:6
- 24/06/26LPolina Iatcenko#142WTA Wimbledon · Q26:7 2:6
- 23/06/26WTamara Zidansek#161WTA Wimbledon · Q16:2 7:5
- 09/05/26LEn-Shuo Liang#335WTA 125 Jiujiang · SF6:7 5:7
- 08/05/26WLizette Cabrera#312WTA 125 Jiujiang · QF6:4 6:2
- 06/05/26WViktoria Morvayova#288WTA 125 Jiujiang · R166:2 6:3
- 04/05/26WJia-Jing Lu#371WTA 125 Jiujiang · R326:2 3:6 6:1
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Uchijima | Z. Bai | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 12–1544% | 11–665% |
| Clay | 15–1158% | 0–0 |
| Grass | 0–10% | 1–150% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.