WTA OsakaWTA 250Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Uchijima vs Shibahara 2:1: result and our tips

·

Moyuka UchijimaWTA #121Elo 1663hard 1654
2:1final6:4 6:7(7) 6:3
Ena ShibaharaWTA #492Elo 1521hard 1517

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Shibahara: 5 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Other tips

  • Match Winner: UchijimaWon60%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 60%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Shibahara lost 5 of the last 6 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.5Won37%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Uchijima 10 of 20, Shibahara 4 of 6 (tour average 32%); Shibahara: 4 matches in a row over 24.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Moyuka Uchijima60%
Ena Shibahara40%

Elo: M. Uchijima 69% · E. Shibahara 31%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Uchijima36%
2:1 M. Uchijima21%
2:1 E. Shibahara17%
2:0 E. Shibahara26%

First set

Moyuka Uchijima55%
Ena Shibahara45%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.555%45%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%61%34%
24.537%63%32%

Sample: 2,432 matches

Games handicap

Moyuka Uchijima −2.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 32 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Moyuka UchijimaEna Shibahara
5Aces4
4Double faults5
74%First serves in69%
64%First-serve points won64%
65%Second-serve points won44%
4/11Break points converted2/6
14/16Service games held11/15
65%Service points won58%
42%Return points won35%
110Total points won98

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. UchijimaTourE. Shibahara
Service points won55%56%58%
Return points won45%44%41%
Service games held62%63%61%
Breaks of serve37%37%30%
Aces per service game0.200.22
Double faults per game0.380.34
Sets with a tie-break10%13%
Tie-breaks won7/131/2
Wins in straight sets69%100%
Matches in the sample536

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Moyuka Uchijima

Ena Shibahara

Elo over the last year

Moyuka UchijimaEna Shibahara

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. UchijimaE. Shibahara
Hard court11–1542%1–517%
Clay15–1158%0–0
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

See also