Challenger JinanChallenger 175Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Uesugi vs Jin 2:0: result and our tips

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Kaito UesugiElo 1315hard 1293
2:0final7:6(2) 6:2
Yuquan JinElo 1455hard 1453

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Kaito Uesugi70%
Yuquan Jin30%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 K. Uesugi47%
2:1 K. Uesugi22%
2:1 Y. Jin13%
2:0 Y. Jin17%

First set

Kaito Uesugi65%
Yuquan Jin35%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 48%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.573%27%71%
19.565%35%62%
20.557%43%54%
21.552%48%49%
22.545%55%42%
23.539%61%37%
24.537%63%35%

Sample: 4,681 matches

Games handicap

Kaito Uesugi −3.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes34%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 21.5out · 21 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Kaito UesugiYuquan Jin
7Aces6
2Double faults3
70%First serves in58%
79%First-serve points won56%
56%Second-serve points won44%
4/5Break points converted2/4
8/10Service games held6/10
72%Service points won51%
49%Return points won28%
72Total points won47

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

K. UesugiTourY. Jin
Service points won58%62%—
Return points won38%38%—
Service games held69%76%—
Breaks of serve21%24%—
Aces per service game0.33—
Double faults per game0.35—
Sets with a tie-break27%—
Tie-breaks won2/6—
Wins in straight sets0%—
Matches in the sample9—

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Kaito Uesugi

  • 13/09/26LAlexander Binda#474Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q16:7 3:6
  • 07/09/26LJi Sung Nam#827Challenger Shanghai · Q22:6 5:7
  • 30/08/26LKoki Matsuda#481Challenger Zhangjiagang · Q17:6 6:7 4:6
  • 22/06/26LLuca Potenza#528Challenger Targu Mures · Q24:6 3:6
  • 21/06/26WMaxime Janvier#640Challenger Targu Mures · Q16:1 3:6 6:3
  • 16/11/25LYuta Kikuchi#956Challenger Yokohama · Q16:0 2:6 2:6
  • 02/11/25LUisung Park#757Challenger Taipei · Q17:6 1:6 2:6
  • 26/10/25LMasamichi Imamura#412Challenger Seoul · Q13:6 3:6
  • 19/10/25LKasidit Samrej#397Challenger Suzhou · Q16:7 6:7
  • 08/09/25LRamkumar RamanathanChallenger Guangzhou 2 · Q16:7 3:6

Yuquan Jin

Elo over the last year

Kaito UesugiYuquan Jin

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

K. UesugiY. Jin
Hard court0–70%0–0
Clay1–150%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.