ATP ShanghaiMasters 1000Round of 128hardbest of three sets

Van Assche vs Bu 0:2: result and our tips

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Luca Van AsscheATP #45Elo 1949hard 1914
0:2final6:7(3) 3:6
Yunchaokete BuATP #93Elo 1917hard 1879

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Luca Van Assche42%
Yunchaokete Bu59%

Elo: L. Van Assche 55% · Y. Bu 45%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Van Assche24%
2:1 L. Van Assche19%
2:1 Y. Bu21%
2:0 Y. Bu37%

First set

Luca Van Assche44%
Yunchaokete Bu56%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.573%27%68%
20.565%35%60%
21.560%40%54%
22.552%48%45%
23.545%55%39%
24.543%57%38%
25.539%61%34%

Sample: 5,756 matches

Games handicap

Yunchaokete Bu −1.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes43%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 22.5out · 22 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Luca Van AsscheYunchaokete Bu
11Aces2
3Double faults0
63%First serves in66%
78%First-serve points won97%
41%Second-serve points won60%
0/0Break points converted1/2
9/10Service games held11/11
64%Service points won85%
16%Return points won36%
56Total points won75

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. Van AsscheTourY. Bu
Service points won61%62%66%
Return points won41%38%36%
Service games held76%76%85%
Breaks of serve32%24%22%
Aces per service game0.310.54
Double faults per game0.310.18
Sets with a tie-break12%21%
Tie-breaks won10/2313/27
Wins in straight sets55%74%
Matches in the sample7754

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Luca Van Assche

Yunchaokete Bu

Elo over the last year

Luca Van AsscheYunchaokete Bu

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. Van AsscheY. Bu
Hard court33–1569%22–1559%
Clay18–1064%2–250%
Grass0–10%11–285%

Head to head

They have not met yet.