Van de Zandschulp vs Merida 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Van de Zandschulp: 4 matches in a row without a tie-break
Other tips
- Total Games: Under 24.5Lost57%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Merida: 5 matches in a row under 24.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: B. Van de Zandschulp 45% · D. Merida 55%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.1
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 74% | 27% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 66% | 34% | 59% |
| 21.5 | 60% | 40% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 51% | 49% | 45% |
| 23.5 | 44% | 56% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 43% | 57% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 39% | 61% | 34% |
Sample: 5,071 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 38%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Under 23.0out · 26 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Botic Van de Zandschulp | Daniel Merida | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Aces | 6 |
| 2 | Double faults | 4 |
| 69% | First serves in | 75% |
| 63% | First-serve points won | 62% |
| 48% | Second-serve points won | 50% |
| 4/4 | Break points converted | 4/7 |
| 9/13 | Service games held | 9/13 |
| 58% | Service points won | 59% |
| 41% | Return points won | 42% |
| 84 | Total points won | 82 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| B. Van de Zandschulp | Tour | D. Merida | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 41% |
| Service games held | 80% | 76% | 77% |
| Breaks of serve | 21% | 24% | 29% |
| Aces per service game | 0.59 | 0.29 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.36 | 0.24 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 24% | 10% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 23/37 | 10/18 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 57% | |
| Matches in the sample | 59 | 71 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Botic Van de Zandschulp
- 01/10/26LFrancisco Cerúndolo#20ATP Beijing · R327:5 4:6 3:6
- 29/09/26WJie Cui#420ATP Beijing · Q26:4 6:4
- 28/09/26WValentin Royer#105ATP Beijing · Q14:6 6:2 6:4
- 25/09/26LNikoloz Basilashvili#124ATP Chengdu · R164:6 5:7
- 10/09/26LAlexander Zverev#2ATP US Open · QF2:6 5:7 1:6
- 07/09/26WArthur Gea#56ATP US Open · R163:6 6:7 7:6 7:6 6:4
- 05/09/26WZizou Bergs#39ATP US Open · R323:6 7:6 4:6 7:6 6:3
- 03/09/26WAlex de Minaur#9ATP US Open · R646:4 7:5 6:2
- 02/09/26WJan Choinski#91ATP US Open · R1286:3 6:1 7:6
- 27/08/26LBenjamin Bonzi#92ATP Winston Salem · QF6:7 4:6
Daniel Merida
- 04/09/26LAlex Michelsen#35ATP US Open · R326:7 4:6 3:6
- 02/09/26WAndrey Rublev#23ATP US Open · R646:7 6:2 6:4 6:4
- 30/08/26WMarton Fucsovics#134ATP US Open · R1286:4 6:4 6:2
- 18/08/26LTaylor Fritz#12ATP Cincinnati · R323:6 4:6
- 16/08/26WZizou Bergs#39ATP Cincinnati · R646:3 6:2
- 14/08/26WMarin Cilic#80ATP Cincinnati · R1283:6 6:1 6:1
- 11/08/26LLearner Tien#17ATP Montreal · QF3:6 2:6
- 09/08/26WTallon Griekspoor#58ATP Montreal · R166:3 6:1
- 07/08/26WAlex Michelsen#35ATP Montreal · R326:4 6:7 6:1
- 05/08/26WUgo Humbert#32ATP Montreal · R646:3 6:3
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| B. Van de Zandschulp | D. Merida | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 22–1855% | 20–1165% |
| Clay | 7–750% | 26–1170% |
| Grass | 2–340% | 1–233% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.