Villanueva vs Zarate: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Villanueva won the first set in 11 of the last 20 matches, Zarate lost the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)
Other tips
- Match Winner: Villanueva71%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 71%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Zarate lost 7 of the last 10 matches
Where the number comes from: market alone 28% → with the players' profiles 36%
Under 18.5 games in recent matches: Villanueva 8 of 20, Zarate 11 of 20 (tour average 32%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: G. Villanueva 78% · C. Zarate 22%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.7
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 72% | 28% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 63% | 37% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 55% | 45% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 50% | 50% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 43% | 57% | 47% |
| 22.5 | 38% | 62% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 36% | 64% | 36% |
Sample: 3,495 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| G. Villanueva | Tour | C. Zarate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 62% | 59% |
| Return points won | 43% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 69% | 76% | 69% |
| Breaks of serve | 36% | 24% | 26% |
| Aces per service game | 0.22 | 0.27 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.20 | 0.28 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 9% | 12% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 7/13 | 7/8 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 57% | |
| Matches in the sample | 59 | 29 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Gonzalo Villanueva
- 05/10/26LNick Hardt#281Challenger Antofagasta · R325:7 6:3 5:7
- 02/10/26LGuido Ivan Justo#188Challenger Curitiba · QF2:6 4:6
- 01/10/26WMateus Alves#385Challenger Curitiba · R166:2 6:3
- 29/09/26WJuan Carlos Prado Angelo#162Challenger Curitiba · R323:6 6:3 6:4
- 21/09/26LGuido Ivan Justo#188Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R324:6 6:3 1:6
- 23/07/26LMatteo Martineau#272Challenger Segovia · R163:6 6:7
- 21/07/26WIlya Ivashka#237Challenger Segovia · R326:3 6:3
- 18/07/26LMax Alcala Gurri#138Challenger Cordenons · SF6:4 5:7 2:6
- 17/07/26WStefano Napolitano#284Challenger Cordenons · QF6:3 7:6
- 15/07/26WJuan Cruz Martin Manzano#382Challenger Cordenons · R166:2 6:0
Carlos Maria Zarate
- 29/09/26LFelipe Meligeni Alves#453Challenger Curitiba · R324:6 2:6
- 22/09/26LJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo#342Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R322:6 1:6
- 15/06/26LJuan Sebastian Gomez#608Challenger Asuncion 2 · R326:2 1:6 5:7
- 12/06/26LLuciano Emanuel Ambrogi#329Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · QF2:6 6:1 4:6
- 11/06/26WArklon Huertas Del Pino Cordova#703Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · R166:3 7:6
- 10/06/26WJuan Bautista Torres#279Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · R326:1 7:6
- 11/05/26LValerio Aboian#347Challenger Cordoba · R324:6 1:6
- 14/04/26LRyan Dickerson#682Challenger Santa Cruz · R324:6 4:6
- 31/03/26LJuan Pablo Varillas#200Challenger Sao Leopoldo · R323:6 3:6
- 30/03/26WBenjamin Torrealba#807Challenger Sao Leopoldo · Q27:5 6:3
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| G. Villanueva | C. Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 2–250% | 1–150% |
| Clay | 31–2456% | 13–1448% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.