Challenger FlorenceChallenger 50Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Vrba vs Marti Pujolras 0:2: result and our tips

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Jakub VrbaElo 1466clay 1478
0:2final4:6 5:7
Alex Marti PujolrasATP #484Elo 1521clay 1526

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jakub Vrba29%
Alex Marti Pujolras71%

Elo: J. Vrba 43% · A. Marti Pujolras 57%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Vrba16%
2:1 J. Vrba14%
2:1 A. Marti Pujolras23%
2:0 A. Marti Pujolras48%

First set

Jakub Vrba35%
Alex Marti Pujolras65%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 53%market (no margin): 52%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%76%
18.568%32%68%
19.559%41%59%
20.553%47%52%
21.547%53%47%
22.541%59%40%
23.537%63%36%

Sample: 3,774 matches

Games handicap

Alex Marti Pujolras −3.554%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 22 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Jakub VrbaAlex Marti Pujolras
2Aces0
8Double faults7
41%First serves in68%
52%First-serve points won64%
46%Second-serve points won38%
4/6Break points converted6/16
5/11Service games held7/11
48%Service points won55%
45%Return points won52%
69Total points won80

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. VrbaTourA. Marti Pujolras
Service points won62%62%59%
Return points won39%38%41%
Service games held73%76%70%
Breaks of serve27%24%29%
Aces per service game0.570.32
Double faults per game0.310.57
Sets with a tie-break13%19%
Tie-breaks won1/28/10
Wins in straight sets0%91%
Matches in the sample624

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jakub Vrba

  • 12/10/26LDaniel Siniakov#496Challenger Catania · Q25:7 6:3 6:7
  • 11/10/26WDragos Nicolae Madaras#463Challenger Catania · Q14:6 6:1 6:2
  • 21/09/26LSpencer Johnson#432Challenger San Diego 2 · Q22:6 4:6
  • 20/09/26WBlaise Bicknell#412Challenger San Diego 2 · Q16:3 3:1
  • 27/07/26LPablo Martinez Gomez#683Challenger Liberec · Q21:6 3:6
  • 26/07/26WRudolf Molleker#522Challenger Liberec · Q14:6 7:6 6:4

Alex Marti Pujolras

Elo over the last year

Jakub VrbaAlex Marti Pujolras

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. VrbaA. Marti Pujolras
Hard court1–150%0–10%
Clay2–250%11–1248%

Head to head

They have not met yet.