WTA 125 SamsunRound of 32hardbest of three sets

Waltert vs Ercan 2:0: result and our tips

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Simona WaltertWTA #110Elo 1685hard 1620
2:0final6:2 6:2
Melisa ErcanWTA #582Elo 1487hard 1470

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Simona Waltert82%
Melisa Ercan18%

Elo: S. Waltert 70% · M. Ercan 30%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Waltert61%
2:1 S. Waltert21%
2:1 M. Ercan9%
2:0 M. Ercan9%

First set

Simona Waltert76%
Melisa Ercan24%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes30%
no70%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.5 · 52%market (no margin): 52%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.577%23%81%
17.566%34%72%
18.556%44%63%
19.548%52%55%
20.542%59%48%
21.538%62%43%
22.533%67%38%

Sample: 1,262 matches

Games handicap

Simona Waltert −5.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes18%

tour average 22%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 19.5in · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Simona WaltertMelisa Ercan
0Aces1
2Double faults1
59%First serves in67%
63%First-serve points won50%
68%Second-serve points won31%
5/9Break points converted1/2
7/8Service games held3/8
65%Service points won44%
56%Return points won35%
62Total points won40

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. WaltertTourM. Ercan
Service points won56%56%56%
Return points won46%44%47%
Service games held63%63%63%
Breaks of serve39%37%43%
Aces per service game0.160.16
Double faults per game0.380.24
Sets with a tie-break9%0%
Tie-breaks won8/130/0
Wins in straight sets58%100%
Matches in the sample614

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Simona Waltert

Melisa Ercan

  • 30/09/26LLeolia Jeanjean#94WTA 125 Adana · R166:3 5:7 4:6
  • 29/09/26WLola Radivojevic#260WTA 125 Adana · R326:2 6:2
  • 21/09/26LDaria Egorova#347WTA 125 Ankara · Q25:7 1:6
  • 20/09/26WGiulia Alessia MonteleoneWTA 125 Ankara · Q16:2 6:0
  • 06/01/25LPanna Udvardy#80WTA Australian Open · Q10:6 3:6
  • 27/12/24LAnna-Karolina SchmiedlovaWTA Brisbane · Q12:6 3:6
  • 09/01/24WYuriko Lily Miyazaki#392WTA Australian Open · Q16:4 7:6
  • 01/01/24LTaylah Preston#86WTA 125 Canberra · R320:6 4:6

Elo over the last year

Simona WaltertMelisa Ercan

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. WaltertM. Ercan
Hard court8–1338%2–250%
Clay25–1366%0–0
Grass0–20%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.