ATP Almaty250Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Walton vs Zhukayev 2:0: result and our tips

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Adam WaltonATP #97Elo 1825hard 1782
2:0final6:1 7:5
Beibit ZhukayevATP #526Elo 1589hard 1570

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Tie-break in Match: NoWon63%

Where the number comes from: market alone 69% → with the players' profiles 63%

Walton: 7 matches in a row without a tie-break

Other tips

  • Total Games: Over 18.5Won74%

    Where the number comes from: market alone 69% → with the players' profiles 74%

    Over 18.5 games in 4 of their 4 head-to-head matches

Long shot
Total Games: Under 20.5Won46%

Where the number comes from: market alone 51% → with the players' profiles 46%

Zhukayev: 4 matches in a row under 20.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Adam Walton83%
Beibit Zhukayev17%

Elo: A. Walton 77% · B. Zhukayev 23%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Walton61%
2:1 A. Walton21%
2:1 B. Zhukayev8%
2:0 B. Zhukayev10%

First set

Adam Walton76%
Beibit Zhukayev24%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes29%
no71%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.576%24%76%
19.567%34%67%
20.557%43%59%
21.549%51%53%
22.542%58%45%
23.535%65%39%
24.532%68%38%

Sample: 2,446 matches

Games handicap

Adam Walton −4.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes39%

tour average 38%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 19 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Adam WaltonBeibit Zhukayev
8Aces13
0Double faults3
67%First serves in69%
76%First-serve points won63%
63%Second-serve points won24%
4/8Break points converted1/3
9/10Service games held5/9
72%Service points won51%
49%Return points won28%
74Total points won50

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. WaltonTourB. Zhukayev
Service points won64%62%64%
Return points won37%38%35%
Service games held81%76%79%
Breaks of serve22%24%18%
Aces per service game0.590.81
Double faults per game0.150.33
Sets with a tie-break19%19%
Tie-breaks won16/358/15
Wins in straight sets66%69%
Matches in the sample7634

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Adam Walton

  • 13/10/26LMarin Cilic#84Challenger Jinan · R323:6 6:3 1:6
  • 05/10/26LRigele TE#734ATP Shanghai · Q17:5 3:6 4:6
  • 01/10/26LMattia Bellucci#68Challenger Jingshan · R165:7 2:6
  • 30/09/26WMoise Kouame#194Challenger Jingshan · R326:1 6:4
  • 29/09/26WAlexander Binda#465Challenger Jingshan · Q26:1 6:0
  • 28/09/26WHikaru Shiraishi#592Challenger Jingshan · Q16:2 6:2
  • 23/09/26LValentin Royer#110ATP Hangzhou · R323:6 4:6
  • 30/08/26LYibing Wu#106ATP US Open · R1286:7 2:6 5:7
  • 25/08/26LIgnacio Buse#33ATP Winston Salem · R322:6 7:5 3:6
  • 24/08/26WJesper De Jong#102ATP Winston Salem · R646:2 6:4

Beibit Zhukayev

  • 11/10/26LIlya Ivashka#221Challenger Jinan · Q10:6 4:6
  • 05/10/26LYaroslav Demin#614Challenger Wuning 3 · R324:6 4:6
  • 12/08/26LMert Alkaya#311Challenger Astana · R163:6 4:6
  • 11/08/26WAmir Omarkhanov#615Challenger Astana · R326:3 6:4
  • 26/04/26LYusuke Takahashi#714Challenger Jiujiang · Q16:7 7:6 2:6
  • 21/04/26LLiam Broady#233Challenger Gwangju · R322:6 1:6
  • 20/04/26WHiroki Moriya#480Challenger Gwangju · Q27:6 6:4
  • 19/04/26WMasamichi Imamura#427Challenger Gwangju · Q16:3 6:2
  • 16/04/26LSho Shimabukuro#109Challenger Busan · R163:6 6:4 6:7
  • 14/04/26WUisung Park#753Challenger Busan · R324:6 6:4 6:4

Elo over the last year

Adam WaltonBeibit Zhukayev

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. WaltonB. Zhukayev
Hard court28–2751%12–1544%
Clay6–460%4–357%
Grass7–464%0–0

Head to head

A. Walton 3–1 B. Zhukayev

  • 03/05/24Winner: Adam Walton6:3 5:7 7:5
  • 12/04/24Winner: Adam Walton7:6 6:7 6:4
  • 07/08/23Winner: Adam Walton6:4 6:3
  • 03/06/23Winner: Beibit Zhukayev7:6 4:6 6:7