Challenger CataniaChallenger 50Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Wehnelt vs Angelini 2:0: result and our tips

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Kai WehneltATP #613Elo 1552clay 1558
2:0final6:2 6:0
Lorenzo AngeliniATP #556Elo 1411clay 1402

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Kai Wehnelt55%
Lorenzo Angelini45%

Elo: K. Wehnelt 71% · L. Angelini 29%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 K. Wehnelt35%
2:1 K. Wehnelt21%
2:1 L. Angelini18%
2:0 L. Angelini26%

First set

Kai Wehnelt55%
Lorenzo Angelini45%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 53%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%76%
18.567%33%68%
19.559%41%59%
20.553%47%52%
21.547%53%47%
22.542%58%40%
23.539%61%36%

Sample: 4,603 matches

Games handicap

Kai Wehnelt −1.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 14 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Kai WehneltLorenzo Angelini
2Aces0
1Double faults3
67%First serves in56%
82%First-serve points won40%
43%Second-serve points won30%
6/9Break points converted1/4
6/7Service games held1/7
69%Service points won36%
64%Return points won31%
58Total points won29

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

K. WehneltTourL. Angelini
Service points won62%62%56%
Return points won39%38%43%
Service games held75%76%64%
Breaks of serve25%24%33%
Aces per service game0.470.12
Double faults per game0.270.28
Sets with a tie-break19%4%
Tie-breaks won3/102/2
Wins in straight sets58%60%
Matches in the sample2323

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Kai Wehnelt

  • 27/09/26LPierluigi Basile#521Challenger Bari · Q17:5 4:6 6:7
  • 20/09/26LLuca Wiedenmann#537Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q14:6 0:4
  • 15/09/26LKilian Feldbausch#270Challenger Szczecin · R322:6 2:6
  • 14/09/26WMichael Vrbensky#754Challenger Szczecin · Q27:5 6:2
  • 13/09/26WMarcel Zielinski#582Challenger Szczecin · Q16:7 6:2 6:2
  • 06/09/26LMika Brunold#261Challenger Tulln · Q16:7 3:6
  • 26/08/26LFacundo Mena#197Challenger Augsburg · R166:7 5:7
  • 25/08/26WNick Hardt#281Challenger Augsburg · R322:6 6:3 6:2
  • 24/08/26WRobert Strombachs#376Challenger Augsburg · Q26:1 6:4
  • 23/08/26WDaniel Siniakov#519Challenger Augsburg · Q17:6 7:6

Lorenzo Angelini

Elo over the last year

Kai WehneltLorenzo Angelini

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

K. WehneltL. Angelini
Hard court0–10%4–267%
Clay12–1055%6–1135%

Head to head

They have not met yet.