ATP Brussels250Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Wendelken vs Onclin 1:2: result and our tips

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Harry WendelkenATP #213Elo 1719hard 1729
1:2final3:6 6:4 0:6
Gauthier OnclinATP #178Elo 1677hard 1665

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won71%

Where the number comes from: market alone 74% → with the players' profiles 71%

Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Wendelken 15 of 20, Onclin 16 of 20 (tour average 68%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Won44%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Wendelken 10 of 20, Onclin 12 of 20 (tour average 39%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Harry Wendelken49%
Gauthier Onclin51%

Elo: H. Wendelken 59% · G. Onclin 41%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 H. Wendelken29%
2:1 H. Wendelken20%
2:1 G. Onclin20%
2:0 G. Onclin31%

First set

Harry Wendelken49%
Gauthier Onclin51%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.571%29%68%
20.564%37%60%
21.557%43%54%
22.549%51%46%
23.544%56%39%
24.542%58%38%
25.537%63%34%

Sample: 5,168 matches

Games handicap

Gauthier Onclin −0.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes38%

tour average 38%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 22.5out · 25 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Harry WendelkenGauthier Onclin
11Aces7
3Double faults1
59%First serves in65%
60%First-serve points won72%
41%Second-serve points won59%
2/5Break points converted6/17
7/13Service games held10/12
52%Service points won68%
33%Return points won48%
78Total points won101

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

H. WendelkenTourG. Onclin
Service points won60%62%61%
Return points won41%38%39%
Service games held73%76%75%
Breaks of serve28%24%25%
Aces per service game0.320.19
Double faults per game0.250.30
Sets with a tie-break12%18%
Tie-breaks won9/1611/21
Wins in straight sets48%68%
Matches in the sample5249

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Harry Wendelken

Gauthier Onclin

  • 13/10/26LFelix Balshaw#186Challenger Roanne · R324:6 7:6 4:6
  • 06/10/26LDaniil Glinka#156Challenger Villena · R326:4 2:6 3:6
  • 30/09/26LSascha Gueymard Wayenburg#181Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R161:6 4:6
  • 28/09/26WDan Added#374Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R327:6 6:2
  • 08/09/26LRaphael Perot#335Challenger Cassis · R324:6 2:6
  • 25/08/26LVitaliy Sachko#175ATP US Open · Q15:7 5:7
  • 20/08/26LVit Kopriva#66Challenger Cancun · R164:6 4:6
  • 19/08/26WTimofey Skatov#201Challenger Cancun · R322:6 6:2 6:3
  • 19/08/26WAlejandro Moro Canas#232Challenger Cancun · Q26:4 5:7 6:4
  • 17/08/26WRyan Seggerman#565Challenger Cancun · Q16:3 6:4

Elo over the last year

Harry WendelkenGauthier Onclin

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

H. WendelkenG. Onclin
Hard court26–1563%17–1652%
Clay0–30%4–544%
Grass3–538%4–357%

Head to head

They have not met yet.