Challenger Fort WorthChallenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Winter vs Legout 0:2: result and our tips

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Edward WinterATP #401Elo 1582hard 1575
0:2final3:6 1:6
Timo LegoutATP #351Elo 1787hard 1770

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: LegoutWon70%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Winter lost the first set in 11 of the last 20 matches, Legout won the first set in 17 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: LegoutWon76%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 76%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Legout won 8 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Under 18.5Won34%

Where the number comes from: market alone 30% → with the players' profiles 34%

Under 18.5 games in recent matches: Winter 7 of 20, Legout 10 of 20 (tour average 29%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Edward Winter24%
Timo Legout76%

Elo: E. Winter 25% · T. Legout 75%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 E. Winter13%
2:1 E. Winter11%
2:1 T. Legout22%
2:0 T. Legout54%

First set

Edward Winter30%
Timo Legout70%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no68%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 50%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.574%26%79%
18.566%34%71%
19.557%43%62%
20.550%50%54%
21.543%57%49%
22.537%63%42%
23.534%66%37%

Sample: 3,643 matches

Games handicap

Timo Legout −4.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 20.5in · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Edward WinterTimo Legout
2Aces0
1Double faults2
79%First serves in56%
44%First-serve points won78%
11%Second-serve points won44%
2/2Break points converted6/10
2/8Service games held6/8
37%Service points won63%
37%Return points won63%
31Total points won53

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

E. WinterTourT. Legout
Service points won61%62%62%
Return points won40%38%43%
Service games held75%76%76%
Breaks of serve26%24%37%
Aces per service game0.190.13
Double faults per game0.190.25
Sets with a tie-break11%6%
Tie-breaks won6/111/3
Wins in straight sets52%88%
Matches in the sample4222

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Edward Winter

  • 28/09/26LMees Rottgering#331Challenger Columbus · R325:7 3:6
  • 21/09/26LKeegan Smith#196Challenger San Diego 2 · R323:6 6:4 2:6
  • 15/09/26LTristan Boyer#200Challenger Tiburon · R322:6 4:6
  • 24/08/26LAndres Andrade#224Challenger Kingston 2 · R324:6 6:7
  • 19/08/26LGonzalo Bueno#199Challenger Kingston · R164:6 2:6
  • 19/08/26WJohn ChinChallenger Kingston · R326:1 6:1
  • 17/08/26WAidan Kim#628Challenger Kingston · Q26:3 6:2
  • 16/08/26WSteven ChristieChallenger Kingston · Q16:1 6:1
  • 13/08/26LBernard Tomic#180Challenger Brownsburg · R327:6 4:6 3:6
  • 10/08/26WGavin Young#542Challenger Brownsburg · Q26:2 6:2

Timo Legout

  • 26/09/26LIgor Marcondes#266Challenger San Diego 2 · SF7:6 5:7 5:7
  • 25/09/26WTristan Boyer#200Challenger San Diego 2 · QF2:6 7:5 7:5
  • 24/09/26WColton Smith#218Challenger San Diego 2 · R166:3 6:3
  • 22/09/26WDaniel Milavsky#319Challenger San Diego 2 · R327:5 6:7 6:2
  • 21/09/26WDaniil Ostapenkov#544Challenger San Diego 2 · Q26:3 6:1
  • 20/09/26WDarian KingChallenger San Diego 2 · Q16:2 6:0
  • 17/09/26LBryce Nakashima#572Challenger Tiburon · R166:7 2:6
  • 15/09/26WHenry Searle#220Challenger Tiburon · R326:1 6:4
  • 14/09/26WDaniil Ostapenkov#544Challenger Tiburon · Q26:3 6:4
  • 13/09/26WEvan Bynoe#762Challenger Tiburon · Q16:1 6:4

Elo over the last year

Edward WinterTimo Legout

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

E. WinterT. Legout
Hard court21–1953%16–673%
Grass0–20%0–0

Head to head

E. Winter 0–1 T. Legout

  • 05/07/26Winner: Timo Legout5:7 5:7