Yamaguchi vs Kenin 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Yamaguchi: 8 matches in a row without a deciding set
Other tips
- Total Games: Under 20.5Lost63%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Yamaguchi: 4 matches in a row under 20.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: M. Yamaguchi 23% · S. Kenin 77%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 19.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 20.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.5 | 84% | 16% | 89% |
| 16.5 | 73% | 27% | 82% |
| 17.5 | 63% | 37% | 72% |
| 18.5 | 53% | 47% | 63% |
| 19.5 | 45% | 55% | 55% |
| 20.5 | 37% | 63% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 34% | 66% | 44% |
Sample: 1,049 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 22%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Under 19.0out · 21 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Mei Yamaguchi | Sofia Kenin | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Aces | 3 |
| 5 | Double faults | 4 |
| 71% | First serves in | 75% |
| 63% | First-serve points won | 67% |
| 10% | Second-serve points won | 43% |
| 3/3 | Break points converted | 7/11 |
| 4/11 | Service games held | 7/10 |
| 48% | Service points won | 61% |
| 39% | Return points won | 52% |
| 55 | Total points won | 71 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Yamaguchi | Tour | S. Kenin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 55% | 56% | 56% |
| Return points won | 44% | 44% | 40% |
| Service games held | 59% | 63% | 64% |
| Breaks of serve | 38% | 37% | 26% |
| Aces per service game | 0.15 | 0.15 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.25 | 0.41 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 6% | 13% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 1/2 | 5/11 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 43% | 60% | |
| Matches in the sample | 15 | 36 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Mei Yamaguchi
- 28/09/26LWushuang Zheng#435WTA 125 Jingshan · R321:6 3:6
- 22/09/26LAlycia Parks#64WTA Singapore · R324:6 3:6
- 20/09/26LKyoka Okamura#246WTA Singapore · Q21:6 1:6
- 19/09/26WUlrikke EikeriWTA Singapore · Q16:1 6:4
- 25/07/26LPolina Kudermetova#105WTA Washington · R166:7 4:6
- 08/07/26LGreet Minnen#239WTA 125 Newport · R325:7 3:6
- 06/05/26LHayu Kinoshita#221WTA 125 Jiujiang · R164:6 1:6
- 05/05/26WAnastasia Zolotareva#273WTA 125 Jiujiang · R326:3 6:3
- 06/02/26LFangran Tian#249WTA 125 Mumbai · QF2:6 6:2 2:6
- 04/02/26WYasmine Kabbaj#253WTA 125 Mumbai · R164:6 6:4 7:6
Sofia Kenin
- 10/10/26LKamilla Rakhimova#67WTA Wuhan · Q10:6 3:6
- 01/10/26LAshlyn Krueger#55WTA Beijing · R1283:6 3:6
- 22/09/26LAlina Charaeva#97WTA Seoul · R326:3 6:7 4:6
- 02/09/26LJessica Pegula#4WTA US Open · R643:6 1:6
- 31/08/26WVenus Williams#599WTA US Open · R1286:2 7:6
- 16/08/26LMarta Kostyuk#10WTA Cincinnati · R646:4 3:6 5:7
- 15/08/26WEva Lys#137WTA Cincinnati · R1281:6 6:3 6:3
- 01/08/26LLucrezia Stefanini#107WTA Toronto · Q15:7 6:1 2:6
- 27/07/26LEmma Navarro#28WTA Washington · R320:6 5:7
- 02/07/26LAmanda Anisimova#18WTA Wimbledon · R642:6 6:4 6:7
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Yamaguchi | S. Kenin | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 7–750% | 6–1726% |
| Clay | 0–0 | 2–529% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 2–433% |
Head to head
M. Yamaguchi 0–1 S. Kenin
- 29/10/24Winner: Sofia Kenin4:6 4:6