Yastremska vs Bucsa 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Bucsa: 6 matches in a row under 22.5 games
Other tips
- Total Sets: Under 2.5Lost62%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Bucsa: 6 matches in a row without a deciding set
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Yastremska: 3 matches in a row under 19.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: D. Yastremska 44% · C. Bucsa 56%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 54% | 46% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 62% | 34% |
| 24.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 2,317 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 22%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Over 21.0in · 31 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Dayana Yastremska | Cristina Bucsa | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aces | 2 |
| 6 | Double faults | 5 |
| 81% | First serves in | 87% |
| 59% | First-serve points won | 60% |
| 40% | Second-serve points won | 36% |
| 6/10 | Break points converted | 5/13 |
| 11/16 | Service games held | 9/15 |
| 55% | Service points won | 56% |
| 44% | Return points won | 45% |
| 96 | Total points won | 96 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| D. Yastremska | Tour | C. Bucsa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 55% | 56% | 56% |
| Return points won | 43% | 44% | 45% |
| Service games held | 62% | 63% | 65% |
| Breaks of serve | 35% | 37% | 37% |
| Aces per service game | 0.19 | 0.11 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.42 | 0.28 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 17% | 14% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 12/17 | 7/14 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 77% | |
| Matches in the sample | 42 | 44 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Dayana Yastremska
- 04/10/26LSinja Kraus#75WTA Beijing · R321:6 4:6
- 02/10/26WMaja Chwalińska#22WTA Beijing · R646:3 6:1
- 30/09/26WCaty McNally#70WTA Beijing · R1286:3 6:4
- 30/08/26LLucrezia Stefanini#106WTA US Open · R1283:6 6:4 1:6
- 24/08/26LJanice Tjen#47WTA Monterrey · R326:2 3:6 6:7
- 13/08/26LTatjana Maria#71WTA Cincinnati · R1281:6 2:6
- 01/07/26LJessica Bouzas Maneiro#99WTA Wimbledon · R643:6 7:6 2:6
- 29/06/26WAoi Ito#344WTA Wimbledon · R1287:6 4:6 7:5
- 17/06/26LTatjana Maria#71WTA Nottingham · R161:6 2:6
- 16/06/26WAlicia Dudeney#236WTA Nottingham · R326:4 7:6
Cristina Bucsa
- 03/10/26LXinran Sun#418WTA Beijing · R644:6 5:7
- 18/09/26LIva Jovic#11WTA Guadalajara · SF4:6 1:6
- 17/09/26WSara Bejlek#30WTA Guadalajara · QF6:0 6:4
- 15/09/26WPanna Udvardy#80WTA Guadalajara · R166:4 6:4
- 13/09/26WBianca Andreescu#168WTA Guadalajara · R326:4 6:3
- 05/09/26LCoco Gauff#5WTA US Open · R323:6 4:6
- 03/09/26WHimeno Sakatsume#115WTA US Open · R647:6 6:7 7:6
- 31/08/26WSara Bejlek#30WTA US Open · R1287:5 4:6 6:1
- 26/08/26LDarja Vidmanova#90WTA Monterrey · R164:6 5:7
- 25/08/26WAnna Bondar#66WTA Monterrey · R326:4 6:3
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| D. Yastremska | C. Bucsa | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 9–1538% | 22–1855% |
| Clay | 7–558% | 0–40% |
| Grass | 3–350% | 0–0 |
Head to head
D. Yastremska 1–0 C. Bucsa
- 09/02/26Winner: Dayana Yastremska6:4 4:6 7:6