WTA 125 MallorcaQualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Yesypchuk vs Vogt 2:0: result and our tips

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Daria YesypchukWTA #488Elo 1500clay 1500
2:0final6:1 6:1
Marie VogtWTA #450Elo 1514clay 1507

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Daria Yesypchuk47%
Marie Vogt53%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Yesypchuk29%
2:1 D. Yesypchuk18%
2:1 M. Vogt20%
2:0 M. Vogt33%

First set

Daria Yesypchuk49%
Marie Vogt51%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 52%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.566%34%59%
19.559%41%52%
20.552%48%45%
21.549%52%42%
22.543%57%37%
23.539%61%33%
24.536%64%31%

Sample: 1,395 matches

Games handicap

Marie Vogt −0.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 20%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Over 20.5out · 14 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Daria YesypchukMarie Vogt
2Aces1
1Double faults5
58%First serves in56%
95%First-serve points won54%
71%Second-serve points won32%
5/9Break points converted0/0
7/7Service games held2/7
85%Service points won44%
56%Return points won15%
56Total points won27

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. YesypchukTourM. Vogt
Service points won—56%59%
Return points won—44%44%
Service games held—63%71%
Breaks of serve—37%39%
Aces per service game—0.50
Double faults per game—0.34
Sets with a tie-break—14%
Tie-breaks won—0/1
Wins in straight sets—100%
Matches in the sample—3

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Daria Yesypchuk

No matches on record.

Marie Vogt

  • 22/09/26LElena Ruxandra Bertea#321WTA 125 Ankara · R321:6 6:2 6:7
  • 21/09/26WEkaterina Yashina#519WTA 125 Ankara · Q26:4 6:2
  • 20/09/26WAshmitha EaswaramurthiWTA 125 Ankara · Q16:1 6:0

Elo over the last year

Daria YesypchukMarie Vogt

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. YesypchukM. Vogt
Hard court0–02–167%

Head to head

They have not met yet.