WTA WuhanWTA 1000Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Yuan vs McNally 0:2: result and our tips

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Yue YuanWTA #141Elo 1629hard 1632
0:2final2:6 3:6
Caty McNallyWTA #70Elo 1863hard 1795

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Lost69%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

McNally: 9 matches in a row over 18.5 games; Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Yuan 14 of 20, McNally 16 of 20 (tour average 64%)

Other tips

  • Tie-break in Match: NoWon75%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Yuan: 14 matches in a row without a tie-break

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Lost38%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Yuan 12 of 20, McNally 6 of 20 (tour average 34%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Yue Yuan35%
Caty McNally65%

Elo: Y. Yuan 28% · C. McNally 72%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Y. Yuan22%
2:1 Y. Yuan16%
2:1 C. McNally22%
2:0 C. McNally41%

First set

Yue Yuan40%
Caty McNally60%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 48%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.548%52%44%
22.542%58%38%
23.538%62%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,230 matches

Games handicap

Caty McNally −3.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 21.0out · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Yue YuanCaty McNally
0Aces5
1Double faults3
68%First serves in72%
46%First-serve points won70%
47%Second-serve points won33%
1/2Break points converted5/7
4/9Service games held7/8
47%Service points won59%
41%Return points won53%
54Total points won70

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Y. YuanTourC. McNally
Service points won56%56%56%
Return points won44%44%44%
Service games held63%63%65%
Breaks of serve36%37%38%
Aces per service game0.210.14
Double faults per game0.150.34
Sets with a tie-break7%9%
Tie-breaks won5/108/11
Wins in straight sets56%62%
Matches in the sample5453

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Yue Yuan

Caty McNally

Elo over the last year

Yue YuanCaty McNally

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Y. YuanC. McNally
Hard court17–1849%17–1553%
Clay8–850%6–555%
Grass0–30%6–460%

Head to head

Y. Yuan 1–0 C. McNally

  • 12/01/22Winner: Yue Yuan7:6 6:4

See also