Challenger LisbonChallenger 125Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Yuzuki vs Gulin 0:2: result and our tips

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Takeru YuzukiElo 1432clay 1433
0:2final4:6 4:6
Svyatoslav GulinATP #545Elo 1705clay 1714

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Set Betting: Gulin 2-0Won74%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Yuzuki lost 0-2 in 1 of the last 6 matches, Gulin won 2-0 in 12 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 20.5Lost35%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Yuzuki: 4 matches in a row over 20.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Takeru Yuzuki9%
Svyatoslav Gulin91%

Elo: T. Yuzuki 17% · S. Gulin 83%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Yuzuki4%
2:1 T. Yuzuki5%
2:1 S. Gulin16%
2:0 S. Gulin74%

First set

Takeru Yuzuki15%
Svyatoslav Gulin85%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes22%
no79%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.5 · 58%market (no margin): 53%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
15.581%19%91%
16.571%29%84%
17.560%40%76%
18.550%50%68%
19.542%58%59%
20.535%65%52%
21.530%70%47%

Sample: 1,377 matches

Games handicap

Svyatoslav Gulin −6.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes20%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 19.5out · 20 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Takeru YuzukiSvyatoslav Gulin
8Aces1
4Double faults2
53%First serves in66%
68%First-serve points won78%
47%Second-serve points won47%
1/3Break points converted3/4
7/10Service games held9/10
58%Service points won68%
32%Return points won42%
55Total points won65

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. YuzukiTourS. Gulin
Service points won65%62%62%
Return points won34%38%42%
Service games held85%76%75%
Breaks of serve19%24%31%
Aces per service game0.780.33
Double faults per game0.370.21
Sets with a tie-break33%13%
Tie-breaks won2/57/14
Wins in straight sets67%79%
Matches in the sample649

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Takeru Yuzuki

  • 06/09/26LMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#405Challenger Shanghai · Q16:1 6:7 3:6
  • 17/03/26LMarc-Andrea Huesler#277Challenger Morelos · R326:4 3:6 4:6
  • 16/03/26WKarl Poling#452Challenger Morelos · Q26:2 6:7 7:6
  • 15/03/26WMario Gonzalez Fernandez#699Challenger Morelos · Q17:6 6:4
  • 03/11/25LJi Sung Nam#819Challenger Taipei · Q26:7 1:6
  • 02/11/25WDaisuke SumizawaChallenger Taipei · Q16:4 6:3
  • 25/08/25LKaichi Uchida#417Challenger Zhangjiagang · Q24:6 2:6
  • 24/08/25WMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#405Challenger Zhangjiagang · Q16:3 3:6 6:2
  • 06/07/25LOscar Weightman#800Challenger Newport · Q17:6 1:6 6:7
  • 08/09/24LZhenxiong DongChallenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q15:7 5:7

Svyatoslav Gulin

  • 15/10/26LGianluca Cadenasso#183Challenger Catania · R165:7 4:6
  • 13/10/26WFranco Agamenone#359Challenger Catania · R327:5 6:2
  • 12/10/26WPedro Rodenas#623Challenger Catania · Q26:2 7:5
  • 11/10/26WTilen KovacChallenger Catania · Q16:1 6:1
  • 28/09/26LFederico Arnaboldi#469Challenger Bari · Q24:6 2:4
  • 27/09/26WLuis Carlos Alvarez Valdes#923Challenger Bari · Q17:5 6:1
  • 21/09/26LPavel Lagutin#390Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q26:7 0:3
  • 20/09/26WRyo Tabata#933Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q17:6 6:1
  • 08/09/26LLukas Neumayer#168Challenger Tulln · R324:6 2:6
  • 07/09/26WAndrej Martin#358Challenger Tulln · Q27:6 6:4

Elo over the last year

Takeru YuzukiSvyatoslav Gulin

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. YuzukiS. Gulin
Hard court3–350%5–550%
Clay0–023–1659%

Head to head

They have not met yet.