WTA 125 LisbonRound of 32claybest of three sets

Zantedeschi vs Ferro 0:2: result and our tips

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Aurora ZantedeschiWTA #292Elo 1473clay 1468
0:2final3:6 4:6
Fiona FerroWTA #105Elo 1732clay 1746

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: FerroWon71%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Zantedeschi lost the first set in 6 of the last 11 matches, Ferro won the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: FerroWon77%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 77%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Ferro won 7 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Aurora Zantedeschi23%
Fiona Ferro77%

Elo: A. Zantedeschi 17% · F. Ferro 83%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Zantedeschi11%
2:1 A. Zantedeschi11%
2:1 F. Ferro22%
2:0 F. Ferro56%

First set

Aurora Zantedeschi30%
Fiona Ferro71%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 19.5 · 50%market (no margin): 51%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.579%21%77%
17.569%31%68%
18.559%41%59%
19.550%50%52%
20.544%56%45%
21.541%59%42%
22.536%64%37%

Sample: 1,087 matches

Games handicap

Fiona Ferro −5.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes18%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 19.5out · 19 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Aurora ZantedeschiFiona Ferro
—Aces—
3Double faults0
66%First serves in82%
47%First-serve points won59%
25%Second-serve points won36%
4/9Break points converted6/14
3/9Service games held6/10
40%Service points won55%
45%Return points won60%
51Total points won69

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. ZantedeschiTourF. Ferro
Service points won56%56%55%
Return points won44%44%47%
Service games held64%63%64%
Breaks of serve36%37%45%
Aces per service game0.140.11
Double faults per game0.220.19
Sets with a tie-break11%6%
Tie-breaks won1/32/7
Wins in straight sets50%64%
Matches in the sample1246

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Aurora Zantedeschi

  • 22/09/26LMarta Lombardini#501WTA 125 Tolentino · R326:4 2:6 3:6
  • 15/09/26LLucie Havlickova#204WTA 125 Ljubljana · R322:6 3:6
  • 11/09/26LAlevtina Ibragimova#169WTA 125 Antalya 4 · QF2:6 3:6
  • 09/09/26WLina Gjorcheska#361WTA 125 Antalya 4 · R164:6 6:3 6:1
  • 07/09/26WSofya Lansere#266WTA 125 Antalya 4 · R326:2 6:2
  • 16/07/26LMartina Trevisan#301WTA 125 Rome · R161:6 6:7
  • 14/07/26WFiona Ferro#105WTA 125 Rome · R326:4 2:6 6:3
  • 11/07/26LJeline Vandromme#123WTA 125 Contrexeville · SF3:6 4:6
  • 10/07/26WAnna Blinkova#73WTA 125 Contrexeville · QF6:4 7:6
  • 09/07/26WLisa Pigato#109WTA 125 Contrexeville · R166:2 5:5

Fiona Ferro

Elo over the last year

Aurora ZantedeschiFiona Ferro

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. ZantedeschiF. Ferro
Hard court0–10%10–953%
Clay6–555%18–869%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

A. Zantedeschi 1–0 F. Ferro

  • 14/07/26Winner: Aurora Zantedeschi6:4 2:6 6:3