Zhang vs Macháč 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 68%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Zhang lost 7 of the last 10 matches
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
A third set in recent matches: Zhang 8 of 20, Machac 11 of 20 (tour average 35%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: Z. Zhang 19% · T. Macháč 81%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 75% | 25% | 68% |
| 20.5 | 68% | 32% | 59% |
| 21.5 | 60% | 40% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 54% | 46% | 45% |
| 23.5 | 46% | 54% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 38% | 62% | 34% |
Sample: 4,916 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 38%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Over 22.5in · 28 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Zhizhen Zhang | Tomáš Macháč | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Aces | 5 |
| 1 | Double faults | 1 |
| 68% | First serves in | 67% |
| 66% | First-serve points won | 70% |
| 38% | Second-serve points won | 43% |
| 4/12 | Break points converted | 4/11 |
| 10/14 | Service games held | 9/13 |
| 57% | Service points won | 61% |
| 39% | Return points won | 43% |
| 95 | Total points won | 100 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| Z. Zhang | Tour | T. Macháč | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 35% | 38% | 35% |
| Service games held | 81% | 76% | 77% |
| Breaks of serve | 17% | 24% | 18% |
| Aces per service game | 0.68 | 0.41 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.17 | 0.21 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 28% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 11/27 | 9/14 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 47% | |
| Matches in the sample | 41 | 32 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Zhizhen Zhang
- 30/09/26LArthur Gea#56ATP Beijing · R324:6 3:6
- 24/09/26LColeman Wong#101ATP Hangzhou · R323:6 3:6
- 29/07/26LJeffrey John Wolf#223Challenger Vancouver · R326:7 6:3 4:6
- 22/07/26LCharles Broom#268Challenger Winnipeg · R166:2 6:7 2:6
- 21/07/26WTyler Zink#344Challenger Winnipeg · R327:6 6:3
- 13/07/26LJustin Boulais#416Challenger Granby · R322:6 6:7
- 22/06/26LHenry Searle#228ATP Wimbledon · Q13:6 4:6
- 19/06/26LOtto Virtanen#107Challenger Nottingham 2 · SF4:6 7:6 5:7
- 18/06/26WRoman Safiullin#79Challenger Nottingham 2 · QF6:7 7:6 6:1
- 16/06/26WJaime Faria#60Challenger Nottingham 2 · R166:4 7:5
Tomáš Macháč
- 01/10/26LAlex Molcan#84ATP Beijing · R323:6 2:6
- 29/09/26LArthur Gea#56ATP Beijing · Q23:6 4:6
- 28/09/26WYannick Hanfmann#57ATP Beijing · Q17:6 6:7 6:4
- 30/08/26LToby Samuel#100ATP US Open · R1282:6 3:6 2:6
- 25/08/26LMees Rottgering#327ATP Winston Salem · R322:6 6:7
- 14/08/26LPablo Carreno Busta#65ATP Cincinnati · R1283:6 2:6
- 27/05/26LAlexander Zverev#2ATP French Open · R644:6 2:6 2:6
- 24/05/26WZizou Bergs#39ATP French Open · R1286:4 6:4 6:3
- 07/05/26WStefanos Tsitsipas#43ATP Rome · R1286:4 7:6
- 24/04/26LCameron Norrie#40ATP Madrid · R642:6 7:6 6:7
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| Z. Zhang | T. Macháč | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 7–1139% | 9–1243% |
| Clay | 3–730% | 6–555% |
| Grass | 9–469% | 0–0 |
Head to head
Z. Zhang 0–1 T. Macháč
- 21/08/22Winner: Tomáš Macháč6:1 3:6 2:6