ATP ShanghaiMasters 1000Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying
Zheng vs Mejia 0:2: result and our tips
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Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Michael Zheng82%
Nicolas Mejia18%
Elo: M. Zheng 72% · N. Mejia 28%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 M. Zheng61%
2:1 M. Zheng21%
2:1 N. Mejia9%
2:0 N. Mejia10%
First set
Michael Zheng76%
Nicolas Mejia24%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes29%
no71%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 50%market (no margin): 51%
The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 78% | 22% | 81% |
| 18.5 | 68% | 32% | 72% |
| 19.5 | 59% | 41% | 64% |
| 20.5 | 50% | 50% | 56% |
| 21.5 | 44% | 56% | 51% |
| 22.5 | 37% | 63% | 43% |
| 23.5 | 32% | 68% | 37% |
Sample: 2,529 matches
Games handicap
Michael Zheng −4.553%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes30%
tour average 34%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 0:2
- Total games Over 20.5out · 19 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Michael Zheng | Nicolas Mejia | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aces | 2 |
| 1 | Double faults | 0 |
| 45% | First serves in | 65% |
| 57% | First-serve points won | 71% |
| 56% | Second-serve points won | 52% |
| 1/6 | Break points converted | 3/8 |
| 6/9 | Service games held | 9/10 |
| 56% | Service points won | 65% |
| 35% | Return points won | 44% |
| 58 | Total points won | 69 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Zheng | Tour | N. Mejia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 78% | 76% | 79% |
| Breaks of serve | 29% | 24% | 25% |
| Aces per service game | 0.45 | 0.45 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.21 | 0.19 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 18% | 20% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 8/24 | 16/31 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 53% | |
| Matches in the sample | 49 | 67 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Michael Zheng
- 05/10/26WFederico Agustin Gomez#204ATP Shanghai · Q16:7 6:3 6:3
- 01/10/26LYanki Erel#300Challenger Jingshan · R161:6 6:7
- 29/09/26WYaojie ZengChallenger Jingshan · R327:6 6:1
- 24/09/26LYunchaokete Bu#93ATP Hangzhou · R324:6 3:6
- 19/09/26LDarwin Blanch#159Challenger Tiburon · SF6:7 6:7
- 18/09/26WMitchell Krueger#340Challenger Tiburon · QF7:6 6:2
- 17/09/26WTrevor Svajda#486Challenger Tiburon · R166:1 6:4
- 15/09/26WEvan Zhu#479Challenger Tiburon · R326:1 4:6 7:5
- 05/09/26LArthur Gea#56ATP US Open · R326:7 6:3 6:4 3:6 2:6
- 03/09/26WYunchaokete Bu#93ATP US Open · R646:3 2:6 6:2 6:3
Nicolas Mejia
- 05/10/26WChun Hsin Tseng#225ATP Shanghai · Q16:4
- 22/09/26LUgo Blanchet#305Challenger Saint Tropez · R321:4
- 25/08/26LLiam Draxl#219ATP US Open · Q14:6 7:6 4:6
- 19/08/26LCamilo Ugo Carabelli#77Challenger Cancun · R325:7 4:6
- 14/08/26LAdam Walton#98ATP Cincinnati · R1286:7 0:6
- 13/08/26WHenrique Rocha#106ATP Cincinnati · Q27:5 4:6 6:3
- 12/08/26WJacob Fearnley#96ATP Cincinnati · Q16:3 3:6 6:2
- 05/08/26LLorenzo Musetti#25ATP Montreal · R646:7 2:6
- 03/08/26WMartin Landaluce#73ATP Montreal · R1284:6 6:4 6:3
- 01/08/26WMarco Trungelliti#90ATP Montreal · Q17:6 3:6 6:1
Elo over the last year
Michael ZhengNicolas Mejia
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Zheng | N. Mejia | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 23–1364% | 17–2046% |
| Clay | 3–260% | 18–578% |
| Grass | 5–363% | 5–271% |
Head to head
M. Zheng 1–0 N. Mejia
- 01/07/26Winner: Michael Zheng6:7 7:6 6:1 6:4
Road through the tournament
Michael Zheng
- 05/10/26WFederico Agustin Gomez#204ATP Shanghai · Q16:7 6:3 6:3
Nicolas Mejia
- 05/10/26WChun Hsin Tseng#225ATP Shanghai · Q16:4