ATP ShanghaiMasters 1000Round of 64hardbest of three sets

Zverev vs Wu 2:0: result and our tips

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Alexander ZverevATP #2Elo 2263hard 2217
2:0final6:4 7:6(4)
Yibing WuATP #113Elo 1884hard 1886

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won69%

Where the number comes from: market alone 62% → with the players' profiles 69%

Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Zverev 16 of 20, Wu 18 of 20 (tour average 75%)

Long shot
Tie-break in Match: YesWon34%

Where the number comes from: market alone 27% → with the players' profiles 34%

A tie-break in recent matches: Zverev 17 of 20, Wu 6 of 20 (tour average 37%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Alexander Zverev90%
Yibing Wu10%

Elo: A. Zverev 87% · Y. Wu 13%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Zverev71%
2:1 A. Zverev17%
2:1 Y. Wu6%
2:0 Y. Wu6%

First set

Alexander Zverev81%
Yibing Wu19%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes23%
no78%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.0 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.578%22%83%
18.569%31%75%
19.558%42%66%
20.548%52%58%
21.541%59%53%
22.534%66%45%
23.527%73%39%

Sample: 1,550 matches

Games handicap

Alexander Zverev −5.545%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes34%

tour average 37%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.0out · 23 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Alexander ZverevYibing Wu
5Aces6
1Double faults0
72%First serves in66%
81%First-serve points won68%
71%Second-serve points won61%
2/5Break points converted1/1
10/11Service games held9/11
78%Service points won66%
34%Return points won22%
70Total points won57

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. ZverevTourY. Wu
Service points won71%62%64%
Return points won37%38%39%
Service games held89%76%79%
Breaks of serve22%24%25%
Aces per service game0.690.37
Double faults per game0.170.20
Sets with a tie-break23%16%
Tie-breaks won35/5112/18
Wins in straight sets59%85%
Matches in the sample7846

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Alexander Zverev

Yibing Wu

Elo over the last year

Alexander ZverevYibing Wu

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. ZverevY. Wu
Hard court32–1174%17–1063%
Clay20–483%9–469%
Grass9–282%1–517%

Head to head

A. Zverev 1–0 Y. Wu

  • 25/05/23Winner: Alexander Zverev4:1

Road through the tournament

Alexander Zverev

First match in this tournament.

Yibing Wu