Challenger MaiaChallenger 125Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Ajdukovic vs Marques 2:0: result and our tips

·

Duje AjdukovicATP #353Elo 1601clay 1588
2:0final6:2 6:4
Goncalo MarquesATP #594Elo 1555clay 1489

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Duje Ajdukovic75%
Goncalo Marques25%

Elo: D. Ajdukovic 64% · G. Marques 36%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Ajdukovic52%
2:1 D. Ajdukovic23%
2:1 G. Marques12%
2:0 G. Marques14%

First set

Duje Ajdukovic68%
Goncalo Marques32%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 54%market (no margin): 52%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.577%23%76%
18.568%32%68%
19.559%41%59%
20.552%48%52%
21.546%54%47%
22.540%60%40%
23.536%64%36%

Sample: 3,078 matches

Games handicap

Duje Ajdukovic −4.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes26%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 18 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Duje AjdukovicGoncalo Marques
5Aces2
0Double faults3
56%First serves in55%
77%First-serve points won44%
65%Second-serve points won54%
5/13Break points converted2/4
7/9Service games held4/9
72%Service points won49%
51%Return points won28%
73Total points won51

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. AjdukovicTourG. Marques
Service points won60%62%61%
Return points won40%38%36%
Service games held72%76%73%
Breaks of serve26%24%21%
Aces per service game0.390.38
Double faults per game0.250.21
Sets with a tie-break15%18%
Tie-breaks won10/172/3
Wins in straight sets65%33%
Matches in the sample497

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Duje Ajdukovic

Goncalo Marques

Elo over the last year

Duje AjdukovicGoncalo Marques

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. AjdukovicG. Marques
Hard court11–1052%3–175%
Clay12–1643%0–30%

Head to head

They have not met yet.