WTA BeijingWTA 1000Quarterfinalhardbest of three setsqualifying

Alexandrova vs Andreeva 0:2: result and our tips

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Ekaterina AlexandrovaWTA #24Elo 1940hard 1925
0:2final6:7(4) 6:7(3)
Mirra AndreevaWTA #3Elo 2103hard 2058

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: AndreevaWon75%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 75%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Andreeva won 8 of the last 10 matches

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 22.5Lost62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Andreeva: 5 matches in a row under 22.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Ekaterina Alexandrova26%
Mirra Andreeva74%

Elo: E. Alexandrova 32% · M. Andreeva 68%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 E. Alexandrova14%
2:1 E. Alexandrova13%
2:1 M. Andreeva21%
2:0 M. Andreeva52%

First set

Ekaterina Alexandrova31%
Mirra Andreeva69%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 50%market (no margin): 50%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.574%26%72%
18.566%35%63%
19.557%43%55%
20.550%50%49%
21.545%55%44%
22.539%62%38%
23.534%66%34%

Sample: 1,697 matches

Games handicap

Mirra Andreeva −4.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 20.5in · 26 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Ekaterina AlexandrovaMirra Andreeva
5Aces4
3Double faults3
64%First serves in70%
54%First-serve points won68%
62%Second-serve points won44%
4/10Break points converted4/7
8/12Service games held8/12
57%Service points won61%
39%Return points won43%
81Total points won90

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

E. AlexandrovaTourM. Andreeva
Service points won58%56%60%
Return points won42%44%47%
Service games held70%63%74%
Breaks of serve31%37%43%
Aces per service game0.420.29
Double faults per game0.410.35
Sets with a tie-break11%11%
Tie-breaks won5/139/17
Wins in straight sets67%73%
Matches in the sample5064

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Ekaterina Alexandrova

Mirra Andreeva

Elo over the last year

Ekaterina AlexandrovaMirra Andreeva

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

E. AlexandrovaM. Andreeva
Hard court18–1751%25–1169%
Clay1–517%22–388%
Grass5–456%1–233%

Head to head

E. Alexandrova 2–0 M. Andreeva

  • 24/06/26Winner: Ekaterina Alexandrova6:3 6:4
  • 17/04/25Winner: Ekaterina Alexandrova6:3 6:2

Road through the tournament

Ekaterina Alexandrova

Mirra Andreeva

See also