Alexandrova vs Kostyuk 1:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Kostyuk: 12 matches in a row without a tie-break
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Alexandrova 12 of 20, Kostyuk 9 of 20 (tour average 34%); Kostyuk: 3 matches in a row over 23.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: E. Alexandrova 36% · M. Kostyuk 64%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 55% | 45% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 34% |
| 24.5 | 37% | 63% | 32% |
Sample: 2,445 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 22%
Match stats
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | Marta Kostyuk | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Aces | 1 |
| 0 | Double faults | 3 |
| 64% | First serves in | 68% |
| 86% | First-serve points won | 63% |
| 100% | Second-serve points won | 56% |
| 1/1 | Break points converted | 0/0 |
| 5/5 | Service games held | 4/5 |
| 91% | Service points won | 61% |
| 39% | Return points won | 9% |
| 31 | Total points won | 19 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| E. Alexandrova | Tour | M. Kostyuk | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 58% | 56% | 61% |
| Return points won | 42% | 44% | 47% |
| Service games held | 69% | 63% | 73% |
| Breaks of serve | 32% | 37% | 43% |
| Aces per service game | 0.41 | 0.35 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.41 | 0.39 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 13% | 9% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 5/15 | 4/10 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 71% | |
| Matches in the sample | 48 | 46 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Ekaterina Alexandrova
- 20/10/26WHanyu Guo#189WTA Ningbo · R326:2 6:3
- 12/10/26LLeylah Fernandez#30WTA Wuhan · R644:6 6:3 3:6
- 08/10/26LMirra Andreeva#3WTA Beijing · QF6:7 6:7
- 06/10/26WLinda Nosková#8WTA Beijing · R166:2 6:2
- 04/10/26WDiana Shnaider#13WTA Beijing · R323:6 6:4 6:3
- 02/10/26WAliaksandra Sasnovich#122WTA Beijing · R646:1 6:4
- 04/09/26LMarta Kostyuk#10WTA US Open · R323:6 2:6
- 02/09/26WKimberly Birrell#41WTA US Open · R646:1 2:6 6:3
- 30/08/26WMcCartney Kessler#106WTA US Open · R1286:2 6:2
- 27/08/26LClara Tauson#54WTA Monterrey · R166:7 6:4 3:6
Marta Kostyuk
- 13/10/26LMaria Sakkari#31WTA Wuhan · R326:4 2:6 2:6
- 17/09/26LLiudmila Samsonova#43WTA Guadalajara · QF6:4 2:6 5:7
- 06/09/26LLinda Nosková#8WTA US Open · R165:7 7:5 4:6
- 04/09/26WEkaterina Alexandrova#33WTA US Open · R326:3 6:2
- 02/09/26WSloane Stephens#118WTA US Open · R646:1 7:5
- 30/08/26WStorm Hunter#151WTA US Open · R1286:4 6:1
- 22/08/26LCoco Gauff#5WTA Cincinnati · QF2:6 2:6
- 19/08/26WMirra Andreeva#3WTA Cincinnati · R164:6 6:0 6:2
- 18/08/26WSloane Stephens#118WTA Cincinnati · R327:5 7:5
- 16/08/26WSofia Kenin#126WTA Cincinnati · R644:6 6:3 7:5
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| E. Alexandrova | M. Kostyuk | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 16–1748% | 14–961% |
| Clay | 1–517% | 16–194% |
| Grass | 5–456% | 5–183% |
Head to head
E. Alexandrova 1–1 M. Kostyuk
- 04/09/26Winner: Marta Kostyuk3:6 2:6
- 10/05/21Winner: Ekaterina Alexandrova6:3 6:1