Alkaya vs Ilagan 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Alkaya: 3 matches in a row over 20.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: M. Alkaya 33% · A. Ilagan 67%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 67% | 33% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 59% | 42% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 54% | 46% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 47% | 53% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 61% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 35% | 65% | 32% |
Sample: 5,575 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Over 22.0in · 26 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Mert Alkaya | Andre Ilagan | |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Aces | 8 |
| 6 | Double faults | 4 |
| 53% | First serves in | 61% |
| 75% | First-serve points won | 88% |
| 47% | Second-serve points won | 56% |
| 1/5 | Break points converted | 3/10 |
| 10/13 | Service games held | 12/13 |
| 62% | Service points won | 75% |
| 25% | Return points won | 39% |
| 73 | Total points won | 87 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Alkaya | Tour | A. Ilagan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 78% | 76% | 78% |
| Breaks of serve | 27% | 24% | 24% |
| Aces per service game | 0.53 | 0.38 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.24 | 0.19 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 13% | 24% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 3/12 | 16/38 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 54% | |
| Matches in the sample | 41 | 67 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Mert Alkaya
- 10/09/26LMax Basing#256Challenger Istanbul 3 · R164:6 5:7
- 08/09/26WTiago Torres#377Challenger Istanbul 3 · R326:3 4:6 6:2
- 14/08/26LKhumoyun Sultanov#431Challenger Astana · QF6:7 3:6
- 12/08/26WBeibit Zhukayev#526Challenger Astana · R166:3 6:4
- 11/08/26WSidharth Rawat#671Challenger Astana · R326:2 6:4
- 06/08/26LKenta (2004) Miyoshi#441Challenger Istanbul 2 · R163:6 2:6
- 04/08/26WSaba Purtseladze#575Challenger Istanbul 2 · R327:6 6:4
- 28/07/26LColin Sinclair#481Challenger Samsun · R326:0 5:7 4:6
- 24/07/26LLuka Pavlovic#207Challenger Segovia · QF1:6 2:6
- 22/07/26WAkira Santillan#309Challenger Segovia · R166:2 6:2
Andre Ilagan
- 14/10/26LYosuke Watanuki#375Challenger Jinan · R322:6 2:6
- 05/10/26LNikoloz Basilashvili#128ATP Shanghai · Q13:6 7:6 5:7
- 02/10/26LLloyd Harris#104Challenger Jingshan · QF5:7 1:6
- 01/10/26WMarat Sharipov#225Challenger Jingshan · R166:2 7:6
- 29/09/26WMatthew Dellavedova#250Challenger Jingshan · R326:4 6:3
- 22/09/26LPetr Bar Biryukov#327ATP Chengdu · Q16:7 6:7
- 15/09/26LBryce Nakashima#572Challenger Tiburon · R325:7 7:6 6:7
- 26/08/26LHugo Gaston#93ATP US Open · Q21:6 3:6
- 25/08/26WTristan Boyer#200ATP US Open · Q16:4 3:6 6:4
- 16/08/26LLloyd Harris#104Challenger Brownsburg · F2:6 6:7
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Alkaya | A. Ilagan | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 20–1656% | 31–2853% |
| Clay | 1–233% | 3–175% |
| Grass | 1–150% | 3–175% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.