Ilagan vs Watanuki: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1h 21mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: A. Ilagan 53% · Y. Watanuki 47%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.3
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 75% | 25% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 67% | 33% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 59% | 41% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 54% | 47% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 46% | 54% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
Sample: 5,258 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Ilagan | Tour | Y. Watanuki | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 63% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 79% | 76% | 73% |
| Breaks of serve | 24% | 24% | 30% |
| Aces per service game | 0.38 | 0.64 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.19 | 0.27 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 24% | 14% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 17/40 | 6/9 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 71% | |
| Matches in the sample | 69 | 28 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Andre Ilagan
- 05/10/26LNikoloz Basilashvili#124ATP Shanghai · Q13:6 7:6 5:7
- 02/10/26LLloyd Harris#110Challenger Jingshan · QF5:7 1:6
- 01/10/26WMarat Sharipov#234Challenger Jingshan · R166:2 7:6
- 29/09/26WMatthew Dellavedova#283Challenger Jingshan · R326:4 6:3
- 22/09/26LPetr Bar Biryukov#278ATP Chengdu · Q16:7 6:7
- 15/09/26LBryce Nakashima#576Challenger Tiburon · R325:7 7:6 6:7
- 26/08/26LHugo Gaston#89ATP US Open · Q21:6 3:6
- 25/08/26WTristan Boyer#209ATP US Open · Q16:4 3:6 6:4
- 16/08/26LLloyd Harris#110Challenger Brownsburg · F2:6 6:7
- 15/08/26WJack Pinnington Jones#205Challenger Brownsburg · SF6:2 6:4
Yosuke Watanuki
- 12/10/26WKaito UesugiChallenger Jinan · Q26:2 6:2
- 11/10/26WSemen Pankin#432Challenger Jinan · Q16:1 6:0
- 07/09/26LMarat Sharipov#234Challenger Shanghai · R327:6 5:7 2:6
- 02/09/26LChun Hsin Tseng#225Challenger Zhangjiagang · R165:7 3:6
- 31/08/26WSemen Pankin#432Challenger Zhangjiagang · R326:3 7:5
- 29/07/26LHayato Matsuoka#247Challenger Vancouver · R324:6 2:6
- 22/07/26LToby Samuel#100Challenger Winnipeg · R160:6 1:6
- 20/07/26WAndre Ilagan#194Challenger Winnipeg · R327:6 7:5
- 14/07/26LAugust Holmgren#236Challenger Granby · R327:6 4:6 5:7
- 03/07/26WJack Kennedy#401Challenger Cary · QF6:1 6:4
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Ilagan | Y. Watanuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 33–2854% | 14–1058% |
| Clay | 3–175% | 0–40% |
| Grass | 3–175% | 0–0 |
Head to head
A. Ilagan 0–2 Y. Watanuki
- 20/07/26Winner: Yosuke Watanuki6:7 5:7
- 29/06/26Winner: Yosuke Watanuki6:3 0:6 3:6
Road through the tournament
Andre Ilagan
First match in this tournament.
Yosuke Watanuki
- 11/10/26WSemen Pankin#432Challenger Jinan · Q16:1 6:0
- 12/10/26WKaito UesugiChallenger Jinan · Q26:2 6:2