Uesugi vs Watanuki 0:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: K. Uesugi 11% · Y. Watanuki 89%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 19.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.5 | 79% | 21% | 94% |
| 16.5 | 68% | 32% | 88% |
| 17.5 | 58% | 42% | 80% |
| 18.5 | 48% | 52% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 40% | 60% | 63% |
| 20.5 | 34% | 66% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 28% | 72% | 49% |
Sample: 1,387 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 0:2
- Total games Under 19.5in · 16 games
- Games handicapcovered
Match stats
| Kaito Uesugi | Yosuke Watanuki | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Aces | 6 |
| 3 | Double faults | 0 |
| 57% | First serves in | 60% |
| 58% | First-serve points won | 91% |
| 44% | Second-serve points won | 80% |
| 0/0 | Break points converted | 4/7 |
| 4/8 | Service games held | 8/8 |
| 52% | Service points won | 87% |
| 14% | Return points won | 48% |
| 35 | Total points won | 60 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| K. Uesugi | Tour | Y. Watanuki | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 62% | 60% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 70% | 76% | 72% |
| Breaks of serve | 23% | 24% | 29% |
| Aces per service game | 0.35 | 0.63 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.34 | 0.27 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 29% | 14% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 3/7 | 6/9 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 69% | |
| Matches in the sample | 10 | 27 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Kaito Uesugi
- 11/10/26WYuquan JinChallenger Jinan · Q17:6 6:2
- 13/09/26LAlexander Binda#474Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q16:7 3:6
- 07/09/26LJi Sung Nam#827Challenger Shanghai · Q22:6 5:7
- 30/08/26LKoki Matsuda#481Challenger Zhangjiagang · Q17:6 6:7 4:6
- 22/06/26LLuca Potenza#528Challenger Targu Mures · Q24:6 3:6
- 21/06/26WMaxime Janvier#640Challenger Targu Mures · Q16:1 3:6 6:3
- 16/11/25LYuta Kikuchi#956Challenger Yokohama · Q16:0 2:6 2:6
- 02/11/25LUisung Park#757Challenger Taipei · Q17:6 1:6 2:6
- 26/10/25LMasamichi Imamura#412Challenger Seoul · Q13:6 3:6
- 19/10/25LKasidit Samrej#397Challenger Suzhou · Q16:7 6:7
Yosuke Watanuki
- 11/10/26WSemen Pankin#432Challenger Jinan · Q16:1 6:0
- 07/09/26LMarat Sharipov#234Challenger Shanghai · R327:6 5:7 2:6
- 02/09/26LChun Hsin Tseng#225Challenger Zhangjiagang · R165:7 3:6
- 31/08/26WSemen Pankin#432Challenger Zhangjiagang · R326:3 7:5
- 29/07/26LHayato Matsuoka#247Challenger Vancouver · R324:6 2:6
- 22/07/26LToby Samuel#100Challenger Winnipeg · R160:6 1:6
- 20/07/26WAndre Ilagan#194Challenger Winnipeg · R327:6 7:5
- 14/07/26LAugust Holmgren#236Challenger Granby · R327:6 4:6 5:7
- 03/07/26WJack Kennedy#401Challenger Cary · QF6:1 6:4
- 01/07/26WTung-Lin Wu#364Challenger Cary · R166:3 6:7 6:1
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| K. Uesugi | Y. Watanuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 1–713% | 13–1057% |
| Clay | 1–150% | 0–40% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Kaito Uesugi
- 11/10/26WYuquan JinChallenger Jinan · Q17:6 6:2
Yosuke Watanuki
- 11/10/26WSemen Pankin#432Challenger Jinan · Q16:1 6:0