Challenger FlorenceChallenger 50Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Almazan Valiente vs Andreev 2:1: result and our tips

·

Izan Almazan ValienteATP #409Elo 1649clay 1650
2:1final6:7(5) 6:2 7:5
Adrian AndreevATP #601Elo 1648clay 1675

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Izan Almazan Valiente41%
Adrian Andreev59%

Elo: I. Almazan Valiente 46% · A. Andreev 54%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 I. Almazan Valiente23%
2:1 I. Almazan Valiente17%
2:1 A. Andreev22%
2:0 A. Andreev39%

First set

Izan Almazan Valiente42%
Adrian Andreev58%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 58%market (no margin): 49%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.567%33%68%
19.560%40%59%
20.554%46%52%
21.547%53%47%
22.542%58%40%
23.540%61%36%
24.536%64%34%

Sample: 4,891 matches

Games handicap

Adrian Andreev −2.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 22.5out · 33 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Izan Almazan ValienteAdrian Andreev
2Aces1
0Double faults3
66%First serves in61%
78%First-serve points won61%
50%Second-serve points won40%
7/18Break points converted4/6
12/16Service games held9/16
68%Service points won53%
47%Return points won32%
115Total points won89

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

I. Almazan ValienteTourA. Andreev
Service points won61%62%59%
Return points won42%38%41%
Service games held74%76%73%
Breaks of serve33%24%30%
Aces per service game0.280.23
Double faults per game0.290.21
Sets with a tie-break10%11%
Tie-breaks won4/73/4
Wins in straight sets68%67%
Matches in the sample2915

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Izan Almazan Valiente

  • 14/10/26LFelix Gill#227Challenger Catania · R164:6 1:6
  • 12/10/26WSean Cuenin#310Challenger Catania · R326:7 6:3 4:3
  • 25/09/26LAdrian Andreev#601Challenger Plovdiv 4 · QF1:6 2:6
  • 24/09/26WMaxim Mrva#234Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R167:5 0:6 6:2
  • 22/09/26WGeoffrey Blancaneaux#446Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R326:4 6:4
  • 21/09/26WGeorge Lazarov#721Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q26:1 7:5
  • 20/09/26WStefan Popovic#680Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q16:2 6:3
  • 17/09/26LCarlo Alberto Caniato#314Challenger Biella · R164:6 3:6
  • 15/09/26WFranco Agamenone#359Challenger Biella · R326:4 6:3
  • 14/09/26WGianmarco Ferrari#502Challenger Biella · Q26:1 6:1

Adrian Andreev

  • 26/09/26LJonas Forejtek#299Challenger Plovdiv 4 · SF3:6 6:4 3:6
  • 25/09/26WIzan Almazan Valiente#409Challenger Plovdiv 4 · QF6:1 6:2
  • 24/09/26WIvan Ivanov#457Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R167:6 6:3
  • 22/09/26WOleg Prihodko#442Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R326:1 6:4
  • 21/09/26WDusan Obradovic#489Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q26:3 6:4
  • 20/09/26WSaba Purtseladze#575Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q14:6 6:0 3:2
  • 07/08/26LPyotr Nesterov#279Challenger Plovdiv 2 · QF4:6 1:6
  • 04/08/26WMurkel Dellien#444Challenger Plovdiv 2 · R326:1 7:6
  • 03/08/26WCarles Cordoba#780Challenger Plovdiv 2 · Q26:3 4:6 6:4
  • 02/08/26WCosme Rolland de Ravel#781Challenger Plovdiv 2 · Q16:4 6:1

Elo over the last year

Izan Almazan ValienteAdrian Andreev

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

I. Almazan ValienteA. Andreev
Hard court8–467%1–233%
Clay11–665%8–467%

Head to head

I. Almazan Valiente 0–1 A. Andreev

  • 25/09/26Winner: Adrian Andreev1:6 2:6