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WTA 125 CuritibaRound of 32claybest of three sets

Alves vs Grabher 0:2: result and our tips

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Carolina AlvesWTA #309Elo 1323clay 1322
0:2final5:7 6:7(1)
Julia GrabherWTA #122Elo 1733clay 1754

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 17.5Won65%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 17.5 games in recent matches: Alves 9 of 10, Grabher 16 of 20 (tour average 68%); Grabher: 9 matches in a row over 17.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 20.5Won40%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Grabher: 3 matches in a row over 20.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Carolina Alves19%
Julia Grabher81%

Elo: C. Alves 8% · J. Grabher 92%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Alves9%
2:1 C. Alves9%
2:1 J. Grabher20%
2:0 J. Grabher62%

First set

Carolina Alves25%
Julia Grabher75%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes30%
no71%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.5 · 54%market (no margin): 52%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
15.585%15%86%
16.575%25%77%
17.565%35%68%
18.554%46%59%
19.546%54%52%
20.540%61%45%
21.536%64%41%

Sample: 927 matches

Games handicap

J. Grabher −5.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes18%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 19.5out · 25 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Carolina AlvesJulia Grabher
0Aces1
2Double faults6
90%First serves in92%
49%First-serve points won55%
38%Second-serve points won38%
5/12Break points converted6/10
6/12Service games held7/12
47%Service points won53%
47%Return points won53%
81Total points won91

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. AlvesTourJ. Grabher
Service points won51%56%56%
Return points won46%44%43%
Service games held50%63%65%
Breaks of serve40%37%35%
Aces per service game0.130.17
Double faults per game0.350.47
Sets with a tie-break23%13%
Tie-breaks won1/56/14
Wins in straight sets100%58%
Matches in the sample1047

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Carolina Alves

Julia Grabher

  • 16/10/26LAriana Geerlings Martinez#299WTA 125 Mallorca · QF6:7 3:6
  • 14/10/26WLidia Encheva#324WTA 125 Mallorca · R164:6 7:5 6:4
  • 12/10/26WDeborah Chiesa#335WTA 125 Mallorca · R323:6 6:4 6:4
  • 05/10/26LDalma Galfi#152WTA 125 Samsun · R323:6 4:6
  • 27/09/26WGuiomar Maristany Zuleta de Reales#138WTA 125 Tolentino · F7:6 6:2
  • 26/09/26WOksana Selekhmeteva#120WTA 125 Tolentino · SF7:6 6:1
  • 25/09/26WNuria Brancaccio#226WTA 125 Tolentino · QF2:6 6:1 6:4
  • 24/09/26WAlice Tubello#207WTA 125 Tolentino · R163:6 6:3 6:4
  • 22/09/26WJennifer Ruggeri#266WTA 125 Tolentino · R324:6 7:5 6:3
  • 31/08/26LSorana Cirstea#16WTA US Open · R1283:6 0:6

Elo over the last year

Carolina AlvesJulia Grabher

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. AlvesJ. Grabher
Hard court1–233%5–1033%
Clay1–614%19–1261%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.