WTA 125 RoveretoRound of 32hardbest of three sets

Arango vs Knutson 0:2: result and our tips

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Emiliana ArangoWTA #160Elo 1605hard 1574
0:2final4:6 3:6
Gabriela KnutsonWTA #163Elo 1749hard 1752

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: KnutsonWon58%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Arango lost the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches, Knutson won the first set in 14 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 22.5Won58%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Under 22.5 games in recent matches: Arango 13 of 20, Knutson 16 of 20 (tour average 64%)

Long shot
Set Betting: Knutson 2-0Won39%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Arango lost 0-2 in 10 of the last 20 matches, Knutson won 2-0 in 10 of the last 20 matches (tour average 34%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Emiliana Arango43%
Gabriela Knutson57%

Elo: E. Arango 26% · G. Knutson 74%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 E. Arango24%
2:1 E. Arango19%
2:1 G. Knutson19%
2:0 G. Knutson38%

First set

Emiliana Arango43%
Gabriela Knutson57%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.567%33%60%
19.559%41%52%
20.553%47%46%
21.549%51%41%
22.543%57%36%
23.538%62%33%
24.536%65%31%

Sample: 2,374 matches

Games handicap

Gabriela Knutson −2.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 21%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 19 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Emiliana ArangoGabriela Knutson
1Aces4
5Double faults8
58%First serves in48%
50%First-serve points won77%
26%Second-serve points won38%
4/6Break points converted6/12
3/9Service games held6/10
40%Service points won56%
44%Return points won60%
49Total points won68

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

E. ArangoTourG. Knutson
Service points won54%56%57%
Return points won44%44%44%
Service games held59%63%66%
Breaks of serve34%37%36%
Aces per service game0.120.31
Double faults per game0.270.42
Sets with a tie-break11%7%
Tie-breaks won3/115/7
Wins in straight sets60%65%
Matches in the sample4545

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Emiliana Arango

Gabriela Knutson

  • 25/09/26LMaria Timofeeva#63WTA 125 Porto · QF1:6 2:6
  • 23/09/26WAyana Akli#282WTA 125 Porto · R166:4 5:7 6:4
  • 22/09/26WKatherine Sebov#228WTA 125 Porto · R326:4 6:2
  • 20/09/26LLisa Pigato#109WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · F4:6 2:6
  • 19/09/26WMia Pohankova#202WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · SF7:5 5:7 6:3
  • 18/09/26WMalaika Rapolu#298WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · QF6:2 1:6 6:4
  • 17/09/26WAnouk Koevermans#249WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · R166:3 6:2
  • 15/09/26WAoi Ito#344WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · R327:6 6:2
  • 01/09/26LEva Lys#136WTA US Open · R1283:6 3:6
  • 27/08/26WEkaterine Gorgodze#154WTA US Open · Q36:4 6:4

Elo over the last year

Emiliana ArangoGabriela Knutson

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

E. ArangoG. Knutson
Hard court6–1924%22–1461%
Clay6–843%2–250%
Grass3–350%2–340%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

See also