Arias vs Cigarran 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Arias lost 0-2 in 9 of the last 15 matches, Cigarran won 2-0 in 6 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: B. Arias 21% · T. Cigarran 79%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 18.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 19.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.5 | 76% | 24% | 91% |
| 16.5 | 66% | 34% | 84% |
| 17.5 | 56% | 44% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 48% | 52% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 40% | 60% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 36% | 65% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 30% | 70% | 47% |
Sample: 1,551 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Under 18.5out · 27 games
- Games handicapnot covered
Match stats
| Boris Arias | Thiago Cigarran | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aces | 3 |
| 7 | Double faults | 3 |
| 60% | First serves in | 59% |
| 57% | First-serve points won | 68% |
| 51% | Second-serve points won | 61% |
| 2/4 | Break points converted | 4/9 |
| 10/14 | Service games held | 11/13 |
| 55% | Service points won | 65% |
| 35% | Return points won | 45% |
| 79 | Total points won | 94 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| B. Arias | Tour | T. Cigarran | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 55% | 62% | 58% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 41% |
| Service games held | 62% | 76% | 68% |
| Breaks of serve | 21% | 24% | 31% |
| Aces per service game | 0.21 | 0.21 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.43 | 0.28 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 6% | 10% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 0/2 | 3/9 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 58% | |
| Matches in the sample | 16 | 39 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Boris Arias
- 27/09/26LSantiago De la Fuente#719Challenger Curitiba · Q16:7 3:6
- 30/08/26LPatrick Schoen#368Challenger Porto · Q12:6 3:6
- 16/08/26LAndrej Martin#387Challenger Prague · Q11:6 2:6
- 09/08/26LErgi Kirkin#656Challenger Hamburg · Q12:6 2:6
- 05/07/26LEnrico Dalla Valle#319Challenger Trieste · Q13:6 0:6
- 12/04/26LDan Martin#646Challenger Tallahassee · Q14:6 3:6
- 24/03/26LSantiago Rodriguez Taverna#460Challenger Sao Paulo · R323:6 6:2 3:6
- 23/03/26WConnor Huertas Del Pino#637Challenger Sao Paulo · Q26:2 6:7 6:2
- 22/03/26WEnzo Camargo LimaChallenger Sao Paulo · Q17:5 6:1
- 17/03/26LCarlos Maria Zarate#352Challenger Asuncion · Q24:6
Thiago Cigarran
- 06/10/26LMiguel Tobon#506Challenger Antofagasta · R326:4 4:6 1:6
- 05/10/26WNicolas Kicker#351Challenger Antofagasta · Q26:3 3:0
- 04/10/26WAnders MattaChallenger Antofagasta · Q16:2 6:2
- 21/09/26LTomas Martinez#790Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q21:6 0:4
- 20/09/26WSantiago PesinoChallenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q16:4 7:5
- 06/09/26LTiago Pereira#339Challenger Seville · Q13:6 6:2 6:7
- 18/08/26LLorenzo Giustino#216Challenger Sion · R324:6 3:6
- 17/08/26WLuca Wiedenmann#537Challenger Sion · Q22:6 6:4 6:3
- 16/08/26WMichael Zhu#957Challenger Sion · Q14:6 7:5 6:2
- 25/06/26LSantiago Rodriguez Taverna#460Challenger Piracicaba · R326:7 6:3 2:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| B. Arias | T. Cigarran | |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 3–1319% | 19–2049% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.