Challenger Fort WorthChallenger 75Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Arutiunian vs McHugh 2:0: result and our tips

·

Erik ArutiunianATP #588Elo 1663hard 1656
2:0final6:4 6:3
Aidan McHughATP #482Elo 1494hard 1477

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Erik Arutiunian50%
Aidan McHugh50%

Elo: E. Arutiunian 74% · A. McHugh 26%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 E. Arutiunian31%
2:1 E. Arutiunian19%
2:1 A. McHugh19%
2:0 A. McHugh31%

First set

Erik Arutiunian50%
Aidan McHugh50%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 51%market (no margin): 53%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.570%30%62%
20.562%38%54%
21.556%44%49%
22.549%51%42%
23.543%57%37%
24.541%59%35%
25.537%63%32%

Sample: 5,167 matches

Games handicap

Erik Arutiunian −0.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes39%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.5in · 19 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Erik ArutiunianAidan McHugh
5Aces0
1Double faults2
62%First serves in71%
79%First-serve points won59%
71%Second-serve points won56%
4/7Break points converted1/2
8/9Service games held6/10
76%Service points won58%
42%Return points won24%
57Total points won43

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

E. ArutiunianTourA. McHugh
Service points won64%62%63%
Return points won36%38%39%
Service games held82%76%79%
Breaks of serve22%24%25%
Aces per service game0.660.25
Double faults per game0.250.20
Sets with a tie-break14%29%
Tie-breaks won5/73/6
Wins in straight sets87%40%
Matches in the sample248

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Erik Arutiunian

Aidan McHugh

  • 18/10/26WJoshua Sheehy#763Challenger Fort Worth · Q16:2 6:2
  • 05/01/26LAlexander Ritschard#483Challenger Nottingham · Q27:6 2:6 2:6
  • 04/01/26WJoshua Sheehy#763Challenger Nottingham · Q16:4 6:7 6:3
  • 12/11/25LMurphy Cassone#268Challenger Champaign · R166:1 6:7 3:6
  • 12/11/25WJeremy ZhangChallenger Champaign · R326:7 6:3 7:5
  • 21/10/25LSamir Banerjee#650Challenger Sioux Falls · R323:6 4:6
  • 20/10/25WDan Martin#652Challenger Sioux Falls · Q27:6 0:6 7:6
  • 19/10/25WNoah SchachterChallenger Sioux Falls · Q16:3 6:0
  • 13/10/25LKeegan Smith#196Challenger Lincoln (NE) · Q26:7 6:7
  • 12/10/25WKyle SeeligChallenger Lincoln (NE) · Q16:2 7:6

Elo over the last year

Erik ArutiunianAidan McHugh

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

E. ArutiunianA. McHugh
Hard court14–961%5–363%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Erik Arutiunian

Aidan McHugh