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WTA GuangzhouWTA 250Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Badosa vs Lee 2:0: result and our tips

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Paula BadosaWTA #61Elo 1915hard 1891
2:0final6:1 6:4
Carol Young Suh LeeWTA #156Elo 1724hard 1712

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Lost60%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Badosa 12 of 20, Lee 15 of 20 (tour average 56%)

Other tips

  • 1st Set Winner: BadosaWon64%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Badosa won the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches, Lee lost the first set in 11 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Lost37%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Badosa: 3 matches in a row over 23.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Paula Badosa69%
Carol Young Suh Lee31%

Elo: P. Badosa 74% · C. Lee 26%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 P. Badosa46%
2:1 P. Badosa21%
2:1 C. Lee15%
2:0 C. Lee18%

First set

Paula Badosa65%
Carol Young Suh Lee35%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.0 · 48%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%72%
18.568%32%64%
19.560%40%56%
20.552%48%49%
21.546%54%44%
22.540%60%38%
23.536%64%34%

Sample: 2,048 matches

Games handicap

P. Badosa −3.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.0in · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Paula BadosaCarol Young Suh Lee
6Aces2
7Double faults1
67%First serves in69%
71%First-serve points won67%
40%Second-serve points won20%
4/9Break points converted1/6
8/9Service games held4/8
61%Service points won52%
48%Return points won40%
69Total points won55

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

P. BadosaTourC. Lee
Service points won57%56%58%
Return points won45%44%42%
Service games held67%63%69%
Breaks of serve37%37%32%
Aces per service game0.360.26
Double faults per game0.590.24
Sets with a tie-break13%11%
Tie-breaks won7/147/9
Wins in straight sets74%75%
Matches in the sample4836

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Paula Badosa

Carol Young Suh Lee

Elo over the last year

Paula BadosaCarol Young Suh Lee

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

P. BadosaC. Lee
Hard court12–1250%16–1062%
Clay13–668%4–450%
Grass2–340%0–20%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Paula Badosa

First match in this tournament.

Carol Young Suh Lee

See also