Báez vs Mpetshi Perricard 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: S. Báez 67% · G. Mpetshi Perricard 33%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 25.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | 70% | 30% | 60% |
| 21.5 | 63% | 37% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 57% | 43% | 46% |
| 23.5 | 49% | 51% | 40% |
| 24.5 | 44% | 56% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 42% | 58% | 35% |
| 26.5 | 38% | 62% | 30% |
Sample: 5,914 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 39%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Under 25.5out · 27 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Sebastián Báez | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aces | 22 |
| 0 | Double faults | 4 |
| 69% | First serves in | 74% |
| 69% | First-serve points won | 82% |
| 50% | Second-serve points won | 24% |
| 2/3 | Break points converted | 3/5 |
| 10/13 | Service games held | 12/14 |
| 63% | Service points won | 67% |
| 33% | Return points won | 37% |
| 76 | Total points won | 83 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| S. Báez | Tour | G. Mpetshi Perricard | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 61% | 62% | 68% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 29% |
| Service games held | 73% | 76% | 85% |
| Breaks of serve | 26% | 24% | 11% |
| Aces per service game | 0.18 | 1.11 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.18 | 0.25 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 9% | 34% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 7/13 | 17/34 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 43% | |
| Matches in the sample | 60 | 38 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Sebastián Báez
- 20/10/26LPierre-Hugues Herbert#249ATP Lyon · R323:6 4:6
- 10/10/26LValentin Vacherot#31ATP Shanghai · R644:6 6:7
- 08/10/26WMarcos Giron#88ATP Shanghai · R1281:6 6:3 6:4
- 01/10/26LJuncheng Shang#250ATP Beijing · R327:5 3:6 5:7
- 23/09/26LJenson Brooksby#94ATP Chengdu · R325:7 5:7
- 31/08/26LBrandon Nakashima#17ATP US Open · R1282:6 1:6 0:6
- 26/08/26LJuan Manuel Cerúndolo#54ATP Winston Salem · R162:6 0:4
- 25/08/26WHugo Grenier#403ATP Winston Salem · R327:5 7:6
- 24/08/26LHubert Hurkacz#28Challenger Cancun · F6:4 0:6 3:6
- 23/08/26WLloyd Harris#108Challenger Cancun · SF6:4 6:4
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
- 17/10/26LRemy Bertola#236ATP Brussels · Q16:7 7:6 5:7
- 13/10/26LEtienne Donnet#855Challenger Roanne · R326:7 6:7
- 31/08/26LJurij Rodionov#137ATP US Open · R1286:7 0:6 6:7
- 23/08/26LJenson Brooksby#94ATP Winston Salem · R643:6 2:6
- 11/08/26LTrevor Svajda#477ATP Cincinnati · Q11:6 6:1 2:6
- 04/08/26LBotic Van de Zandschulp#37ATP Montreal · R1282:6 6:3 3:6
- 30/06/26LYannick Hanfmann#59ATP Wimbledon · R1287:6 6:7 2:6 3:6
- 15/06/26LCorentin Moutet#103ATP London · R327:6 4:6 6:7
- 14/06/26WAleksandar Kovacevic#84ATP London · Q26:3 6:4
- 13/06/26WJohannus Monday#443ATP London · Q16:4 6:3
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| S. Báez | G. Mpetshi Perricard | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 14–1450% | 7–1729% |
| Clay | 17–1455% | 3–443% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 4–357% |
Head to head
S. Báez 1–0 G. Mpetshi Perricard
- 20/01/26Winner: S. Báez6:4 6:4 3:6 5:7 6:3