WTA 125 SuzhouRound of 16hardbest of three sets

Bai vs Jones 2:1: result and our tips

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Zhuoxuan BaiWTA #200Elo 1689hard 1685
2:1final1:6 6:3 7:6(3)
Emerson JonesWTA #122Elo 1649hard 1653

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Zhuoxuan Bai40%
Emerson Jones60%

Elo: Z. Bai 55% · E. Jones 45%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Z. Bai23%
2:1 Z. Bai17%
2:1 E. Jones20%
2:0 E. Jones40%

First set

Zhuoxuan Bai41%
Emerson Jones59%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 48%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.567%33%60%
19.559%41%52%
20.553%47%46%
21.548%52%41%
22.542%58%37%
23.538%62%33%
24.535%65%31%

Sample: 2,376 matches

Games handicap

Emerson Jones −3.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 21%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 21.0in · 29 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Zhuoxuan BaiEmerson Jones
5Aces3
5Double faults1
73%First serves in69%
68%First-serve points won63%
48%Second-serve points won68%
3/6Break points converted4/10
10/14Service games held11/14
62%Service points won64%
36%Return points won38%
90Total points won93

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Z. BaiTourE. Jones
Service points won57%56%54%
Return points won46%44%44%
Service games held66%63%61%
Breaks of serve41%37%36%
Aces per service game0.180.14
Double faults per game0.250.42
Sets with a tie-break7%14%
Tie-breaks won1/37/10
Wins in straight sets62%62%
Matches in the sample2029

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Zhuoxuan Bai

Emerson Jones

Elo over the last year

Zhuoxuan BaiEmerson Jones

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Z. BaiE. Jones
Hard court12–667%12–1250%
Clay0–00–10%
Grass1–150%1–325%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Zhuoxuan Bai

Emerson Jones