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Challenger Sioux FallsChallenger 125Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Baris vs Heck 2:0: result and our tips

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Ozan BarisATP #407Elo 1546hard 1530
2:0final6:3 6:4
Hunter HeckATP #598Elo 1594hard 1598

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Ozan Baris73%
Hunter Heck27%

Elo: O. Baris 40% · H. Heck 60%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 O. Baris51%
2:1 O. Baris22%
2:1 H. Heck12%
2:0 H. Heck15%

First set

Ozan Baris68%
Hunter Heck33%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.572%28%71%
19.563%37%62%
20.555%45%54%
21.549%51%49%
22.543%57%42%
23.537%63%37%
24.535%65%35%

Sample: 4,164 matches

Games handicap

O. Baris −3.555%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes32%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 19 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Ozan BarisHunter Heck
6Aces2
3Double faults4
55%First serves in57%
75%First-serve points won59%
50%Second-serve points won43%
4/10Break points converted2/3
8/10Service games held5/9
64%Service points won52%
48%Return points won36%
70Total points won57

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

O. BarisTourH. Heck
Service points won63%62%62%
Return points won39%38%39%
Service games held76%76%76%
Breaks of serve24%24%27%
Aces per service game0.370.37
Double faults per game0.200.27
Sets with a tie-break8%6%
Tie-breaks won1/32/2
Wins in straight sets67%86%
Matches in the sample1714

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Ozan Baris

Hunter Heck

  • 19/09/26LIlia Simakin#146Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · SF7:6 5:7 2:6
  • 18/09/26WMatthew Dellavedova#237Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · QF6:4 6:2
  • 16/09/26WLuka Pavlovic#204Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R163:6 6:1 7:6
  • 15/09/26WKhumoyun Sultanov#416Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R326:3 6:2
  • 14/09/26WS D Prajwal Dev#677Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q26:3 6:2
  • 13/09/26WEthan CookChallenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q16:2 6:2
  • 07/09/26LAditya Balsekar#883Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · Q24:6 0:6
  • 06/09/26WNam NguyenChallenger Phan Thiet 3 · Q16:1 6:1
  • 22/08/26LMees Rottgering#316ATP Winston Salem · Q11:6 0:6
  • 16/08/26LAndrew Fenty#486Challenger Kingston · Q16:2 3:6 4:6

Elo over the last year

Ozan BarisHunter Heck

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

O. BarisH. Heck
Hard court8–753%7–750%
Grass1–150%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.